Redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle shifted Florida's 22nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat without an incumbent, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as lean or tilt Republican. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has since received National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its MAGA Majority program along with endorsements from state Senate leadership. Pia Dandiya won her Democratic primary by a wide margin and leads on some early head-to-head polling, though a recent independent expenditure has targeted her positions on tax policy. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's altered voter composition remain the primary drivers behind current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$41,850 Vol.
$41,850 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Casey Askar (R)
59%
Pia Dandiya (D)
41%
$41,850 Vol.
$41,850 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Casey Askar (R)
$23,238 Vol.
59%
Pia Dandiya (D)
$18,612 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle shifted Florida's 22nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat without an incumbent, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as lean or tilt Republican. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has since received National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its MAGA Majority program along with endorsements from state Senate leadership. Pia Dandiya won her Democratic primary by a wide margin and leads on some early head-to-head polling, though a recent independent expenditure has targeted her positions on tax policy. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's altered voter composition remain the primary drivers behind current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$41,850End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle shifted Florida's 22nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat without an incumbent, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as lean or tilt Republican. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has since received National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its MAGA Majority program along with endorsements from state Senate leadership. Pia Dandiya won her Democratic primary by a wide margin and leads on some early head-to-head polling, though a recent independent expenditure has targeted her positions on tax policy. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's altered voter composition remain the primary drivers behind current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,850End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting ahead of the 2026 cycle shifted Florida's 22nd Congressional District into a Republican-leaning seat without an incumbent, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as lean or tilt Republican. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary and has since received National Republican Congressional Committee inclusion in its MAGA Majority program along with endorsements from state Senate leadership. Pia Dandiya won her Democratic primary by a wide margin and leads on some early head-to-head polling, though a recent independent expenditure has targeted her positions on tax policy. The November 3 general election timeline and the district's altered voter composition remain the primary drivers behind current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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