Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, defeating three challengers with roughly 50 percent of the vote in the open-seat race to succeed Rep. Haley Stevens. The Oakland County-based district carries a Democratic lean reflected in recent statewide voting patterns and carries Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Moss’s state Senate leadership experience, broad party endorsements, and fundraising edge have reinforced his position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed Troy mayor. Current trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural advantages and the absence of late-cycle developments that would alter the balance. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability factors this close to Election Day.