Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate run. National midterm dynamics typically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 63 percent. William Lawrence, a progressive activist, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, while Barrett faced no Republican opposition. Early polling shows tight general-election margins, and forecasting groups continue to rate the race a toss-up. Factors such as turnout in Ingham and Livingston counties, economic conditions, and the generic ballot edge for Democrats could influence the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,137 Vol.
$17,137 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
36%
$17,137 Vol.
$17,137 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,746 Vol.
63%
Republican Party
$5,391 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate run. National midterm dynamics typically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 63 percent. William Lawrence, a progressive activist, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, while Barrett faced no Republican opposition. Early polling shows tight general-election margins, and forecasting groups continue to rate the race a toss-up. Factors such as turnout in Ingham and Livingston counties, economic conditions, and the generic ballot edge for Democrats could influence the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$17,137End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate run. National midterm dynamics typically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 63 percent. William Lawrence, a progressive activist, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, while Barrett faced no Republican opposition. Early polling shows tight general-election margins, and forecasting groups continue to rate the race a toss-up. Factors such as turnout in Ingham and Livingston counties, economic conditions, and the generic ballot edge for Democrats could influence the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,137End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a closely contested swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 after Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacated it for a Senate run. National midterm dynamics typically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 63 percent. William Lawrence, a progressive activist, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, while Barrett faced no Republican opposition. Early polling shows tight general-election margins, and forecasting groups continue to rate the race a toss-up. Factors such as turnout in Ingham and Livingston counties, economic conditions, and the generic ballot edge for Democrats could influence the outcome before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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