Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter leads incumbent Republican Max Miller in the Ohio 7th District House race, with prediction market pricing reflecting recent polling trends and campaign developments. Multiple surveys since August show Poindexter ahead by margins of 6 to 14 points in a district that leaned Republican in prior cycles. The shift stems primarily from sustained public scrutiny over Miller’s personal legal matters, including domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife that have prompted calls from Republican figures for him to exit the race. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have moved the seat to toss-up status, while the DCCC added Poindexter to its Red to Blue program and unions increased support. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has aired ads highlighting the allegations, which local stations broadcast despite legal threats from Miller’s side. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-07 House Election Winner
OH-07 House Election Winner
$58,884 Vol.
$58,884 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Poindexter (D)
81%
Max Miller (R)
21%
$58,884 Vol.
$58,884 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Poindexter (D)
$38,765 Vol.
81%
Max Miller (R)
$21,416 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter leads incumbent Republican Max Miller in the Ohio 7th District House race, with prediction market pricing reflecting recent polling trends and campaign developments. Multiple surveys since August show Poindexter ahead by margins of 6 to 14 points in a district that leaned Republican in prior cycles. The shift stems primarily from sustained public scrutiny over Miller’s personal legal matters, including domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife that have prompted calls from Republican figures for him to exit the race. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have moved the seat to toss-up status, while the DCCC added Poindexter to its Red to Blue program and unions increased support. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has aired ads highlighting the allegations, which local stations broadcast despite legal threats from Miller’s side. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$58,884End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter leads incumbent Republican Max Miller in the Ohio 7th District House race, with prediction market pricing reflecting recent polling trends and campaign developments. Multiple surveys since August show Poindexter ahead by margins of 6 to 14 points in a district that leaned Republican in prior cycles. The shift stems primarily from sustained public scrutiny over Miller’s personal legal matters, including domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife that have prompted calls from Republican figures for him to exit the race. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have moved the seat to toss-up status, while the DCCC added Poindexter to its Red to Blue program and unions increased support. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has aired ads highlighting the allegations, which local stations broadcast despite legal threats from Miller’s side. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$58,884End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter leads incumbent Republican Max Miller in the Ohio 7th District House race, with prediction market pricing reflecting recent polling trends and campaign developments. Multiple surveys since August show Poindexter ahead by margins of 6 to 14 points in a district that leaned Republican in prior cycles. The shift stems primarily from sustained public scrutiny over Miller’s personal legal matters, including domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife that have prompted calls from Republican figures for him to exit the race. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have moved the seat to toss-up status, while the DCCC added Poindexter to its Red to Blue program and unions increased support. Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has aired ads highlighting the allegations, which local stations broadcast despite legal threats from Miller’s side. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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