The Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23 remains closely contested between incumbent Adriano Espaillat and DSA-backed challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Espaillat’s long tenure since 2017, ties to local Democratic organizations, and fundraising network provide a structural edge in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Chevalier’s strong first-quarter fundraising, activist base, and momentum from recent progressive wins have narrowed the gap, producing tight trader consensus. Minor candidates trail far behind. Key factors that could create separation include final fundraising reports, petition challenges, and turnout among key voting blocs in the final weeks before the primary.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Adriano Espaillat 55%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 42%
Oscar Romero 1.8%
Matt Miller <1%
$24,723 Vol.
$24,723 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
55%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
44%
Oscar Romero
2%
Matt Miller
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 55%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 42%
Oscar Romero 1.8%
Matt Miller <1%
$24,723 Vol.
$24,723 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
55%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
44%
Oscar Romero
2%
Matt Miller
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23 remains closely contested between incumbent Adriano Espaillat and DSA-backed challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Espaillat’s long tenure since 2017, ties to local Democratic organizations, and fundraising network provide a structural edge in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Chevalier’s strong first-quarter fundraising, activist base, and momentum from recent progressive wins have narrowed the gap, producing tight trader consensus. Minor candidates trail far behind. Key factors that could create separation include final fundraising reports, petition challenges, and turnout among key voting blocs in the final weeks before the primary.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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