Skip to main content
icon for NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Claire Valdez 72%

Antonio Reynoso 26%

Julie Won 1.7%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$95,514 Vol.

Claire Valdez 72%

Antonio Reynoso 26%

Julie Won 1.7%

Lincoln Restler <1%

Polymarket

$95,514 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$8,092 Vol.

72%

Antonio Reynoso

$8,424 Vol.

26%

Julie Won

$3,360 Vol.

2%

Lincoln Restler

$5,047 Vol.

1%

Tiffany Cabán

$6,968 Vol.

<1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$24,814 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$6,014 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$24,795 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$8,002 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez holds a commanding 71.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her strong progressive endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders, NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani—who carried the district with 65% in his mayoral race—and NYC-DSA, alongside leading Q1 fundraising at $752,000. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 26.5% despite backing from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez and AG Letitia James, positioning him as the institutional left alternative in this D+25 Cook PVI stronghold of Bushwick, Williamsburg, and Long Island City. A January Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso edging Valdez amid 46% undecideds; recent Mamdani influence signals have boosted Valdez's consolidation of the socialist base, with no newer public polls shifting sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$95,514
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez holds a commanding 71.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her strong progressive endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders, NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani—who carried the district with 65% in his mayoral race—and NYC-DSA, alongside leading Q1 fundraising at $752,000. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 26.5% despite backing from retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez and AG Letitia James, positioning him as the institutional left alternative in this D+25 Cook PVI stronghold of Bushwick, Williamsburg, and Long Island City. A January Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso edging Valdez amid 46% undecideds; recent Mamdani influence signals have boosted Valdez's consolidation of the socialist base, with no newer public polls shifting sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$95,514
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Claire Valdez" sa 72%, sinusundan ng "Antonio Reynoso" sa 26%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 72¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 72% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $95.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Claire Valdez" sa 72%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 72% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Antonio Reynoso" sa 26%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.