Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s sustained Democratic shift since redistricting, her successive victories since flipping it in 2022, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, shows a partisan lean favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former local meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary, has not altered the fundamentals despite local recognition and endorsements. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Scholten reflects these structural advantages and limited polling volatility. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26,525 Vol.
$26,525 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Hillary Scholten (D)
95%
Terri DeBoer (R)
5%
$26,525 Vol.
$26,525 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Hillary Scholten (D)
$18,441 Vol.
95%
Terri DeBoer (R)
$8,083 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s sustained Democratic shift since redistricting, her successive victories since flipping it in 2022, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, shows a partisan lean favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former local meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary, has not altered the fundamentals despite local recognition and endorsements. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Scholten reflects these structural advantages and limited polling volatility. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$26,525End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s sustained Democratic shift since redistricting, her successive victories since flipping it in 2022, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, shows a partisan lean favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former local meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary, has not altered the fundamentals despite local recognition and endorsements. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Scholten reflects these structural advantages and limited polling volatility. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,525End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s sustained Democratic shift since redistricting, her successive victories since flipping it in 2022, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Likely Democratic. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, shows a partisan lean favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a former local meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary, has not altered the fundamentals despite local recognition and endorsements. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Scholten reflects these structural advantages and limited polling volatility. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unforeseen national Republican surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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