Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
38%
民主党
54%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$178 交易量
38%
民主党
$600 交易量
54%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET
交易量
$778结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$778结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, first elected in 2024 with 51.3 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary field of three candidates ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the district’s narrow partisan voter index of R+1 and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm cycles. Trader consensus at 86 percent for Democrats reflects these factors, including Rivet’s early fundraising and the absence of major shifts in polling or endorsements that would alter the competitive baseline. Republicans would need a strong nominee and favorable national conditions to close the gap in this swing district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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