Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd Congressional District after winning the March 2026 primary with 75.7% of the vote, succeeding his retiring twin brother, former Representative Troy Nehls. The solidly Republican district, which includes parts of Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties, has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 14 points in recent cycles. Nehls holds a substantial fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and military and law enforcement background that align with voter priorities on border security and energy. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee who won her primary with 54.6%, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as national shifts in turnout, candidate-specific controversies, or unexpected polling swings remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.