Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Texas' 21st Congressional District 21 House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean (Cook PVI R+10) and historical GOP margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including Chip Roy's 62%-36% win over Democrat Kristin Hook in 2024. Mark Teixeira, the GOP nominee, secured a commanding 61% in the March 3 primary—bolstered by a Trump endorsement and $3.6 million in fundraising—against Hook's unproven rematch bid with under $155,000 raised. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, leaving baseline fundamentals intact ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-21 House Election Winner
TX-21 House Election Winner
$30,349 Vol.
$30,349 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
$30,349 Vol.
$30,349 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,263 Vol.
81%
Democratic Party
$13,086 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Texas' 21st Congressional District 21 House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean (Cook PVI R+10) and historical GOP margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including Chip Roy's 62%-36% win over Democrat Kristin Hook in 2024. Mark Teixeira, the GOP nominee, secured a commanding 61% in the March 3 primary—bolstered by a Trump endorsement and $3.6 million in fundraising—against Hook's unproven rematch bid with under $155,000 raised. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, leaving baseline fundamentals intact ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$30,349End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Texas' 21st Congressional District 21 House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean (Cook PVI R+10) and historical GOP margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including Chip Roy's 62%-36% win over Democrat Kristin Hook in 2024. Mark Teixeira, the GOP nominee, secured a commanding 61% in the March 3 primary—bolstered by a Trump endorsement and $3.6 million in fundraising—against Hook's unproven rematch bid with under $155,000 raised. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, leaving baseline fundamentals intact ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,349End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 80.5% for Texas' 21st Congressional District 21 House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean (Cook PVI R+10) and historical GOP margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including Chip Roy's 62%-36% win over Democrat Kristin Hook in 2024. Mark Teixeira, the GOP nominee, secured a commanding 61% in the March 3 primary—bolstered by a Trump endorsement and $3.6 million in fundraising—against Hook's unproven rematch bid with under $155,000 raised. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, leaving baseline fundamentals intact ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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