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Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Bev Craig 100.0%

Marlon Scott West <1%

Kate Green <1%

Laura Evans <1%

Polymarket

$426,582 Vol.

Bev Craig 100.0%

Marlon Scott West <1%

Kate Green <1%

Laura Evans <1%

Polymarket

$426,582 Vol.

icon for Marlon Scott West

Marlon Scott West

$28,380 Vol.

No

icon for Kate Green

Kate Green

$3,367 Vol.

No

icon for Laura Evans

Laura Evans

$8,796 Vol.

No

icon for Dan Barker

Dan Barker

$26,078 Vol.

No

icon for Richard Kilpatrick

Richard Kilpatrick

$1,849 Vol.

No

icon for Sian Astley

Sian Astley

$21,114 Vol.

No

icon for Hannah Spencer

Hannah Spencer

$5,316 Vol.

No

icon for Jake Austin

Jake Austin

$1,565 Vol.

No

icon for Paul Dennett

Paul Dennett

$2,625 Vol.

No

icon for Nick Buckley

Nick Buckley

$6,714 Vol.

No

icon for Bev Craig

Bev Craig

$244,273 Vol.

Yes

icon for Arooj Shah

Arooj Shah

$1,829 Vol.

No

icon for Geraldine Coggins

Geraldine Coggins

$72,504 Vol.

No

icon for George Galloway

George Galloway

$2,170 Vol.

No

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).Bev Craig secured a decisive victory in the July 30, 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral by-election, capturing 66.3% in the second round against Reform UK's Sian Astley. As the Labour and Co-operative Party nominee and Manchester City Council leader, Craig benefited from strong party infrastructure, name recognition across the region, and pledges to expand affordable public transport options such as the Bee Network fare caps. The contest followed the departure of the prior officeholder, creating an open race where Labour's established voter base in the combined authority delivered a commanding margin. With results now confirmed, market pricing at 100% for Craig reflects the completed vote count, though final certification or any narrow procedural disputes could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before full resolution.

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Volume
$426,582
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 19, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).Bev Craig secured a decisive victory in the July 30, 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral by-election, capturing 66.3% in the second round against Reform UK's Sian Astley. As the Labour and Co-operative Party nominee and Manchester City Council leader, Craig benefited from strong party infrastructure, name recognition across the region, and pledges to expand affordable public transport options such as the Bee Network fare caps. The contest followed the departure of the prior officeholder, creating an open race where Labour's established voter base in the combined authority delivered a commanding margin. With results now confirmed, market pricing at 100% for Craig reflects the completed vote count, though final certification or any narrow procedural disputes could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before full resolution.

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Volume
$426,582
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 19, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bev Craig" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Marlon Scott West" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $426.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 19, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Bev Craig" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marlon Scott West" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.