Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his status as the long-serving incumbent and House Minority Leader. Jeffries advanced unopposed after potential primary challengers withdrew ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries raised over $14 million through mid-2026, underscoring broad institutional support, and previously won the seat by more than 50 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Jeffries aligns with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural Democratic advantage before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$32,669 Vol.
$32,669 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
97%
Lewis Mizrahi (R)
2%
$32,669 Vol.
$32,669 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
$14,128 Vol.
97%
Lewis Mizrahi (R)
$18,541 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his status as the long-serving incumbent and House Minority Leader. Jeffries advanced unopposed after potential primary challengers withdrew ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries raised over $14 million through mid-2026, underscoring broad institutional support, and previously won the seat by more than 50 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Jeffries aligns with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural Democratic advantage before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,669End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his status as the long-serving incumbent and House Minority Leader. Jeffries advanced unopposed after potential primary challengers withdrew ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries raised over $14 million through mid-2026, underscoring broad institutional support, and previously won the seat by more than 50 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Jeffries aligns with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural Democratic advantage before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,669End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index, combined with his status as the long-serving incumbent and House Minority Leader. Jeffries advanced unopposed after potential primary challengers withdrew ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries raised over $14 million through mid-2026, underscoring broad institutional support, and previously won the seat by more than 50 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Jeffries aligns with the district’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural Democratic advantage before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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