Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso with 56% of the vote in a race shaped by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins and carries Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Melvin Rivera, the Republican nominee, faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a constituency where no Republican has won in over three decades. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects this structural Democratic advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics, though low-probability disruptions such as major candidate scandals or unexpected national political shifts remain theoretically possible before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$30,386 Vol.
$30,386 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
1%
$30,386 Vol.
$30,386 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
$15,484 Vol.
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
$14,902 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso with 56% of the vote in a race shaped by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins and carries Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Melvin Rivera, the Republican nominee, faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a constituency where no Republican has won in over three decades. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects this structural Democratic advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics, though low-probability disruptions such as major candidate scandals or unexpected national political shifts remain theoretically possible before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$30,386End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso with 56% of the vote in a race shaped by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins and carries Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Melvin Rivera, the Republican nominee, faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a constituency where no Republican has won in over three decades. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects this structural Democratic advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics, though low-probability disruptions such as major candidate scandals or unexpected national political shifts remain theoretically possible before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,386End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso with 56% of the vote in a race shaped by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins and carries Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Melvin Rivera, the Republican nominee, faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a constituency where no Republican has won in over three decades. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects this structural Democratic advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics, though low-probability disruptions such as major candidate scandals or unexpected national political shifts remain theoretically possible before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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