Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 23, 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in an open seat race following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. The district’s D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around her general election prospects against Republican Melvin Rivera on November 3. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican path-to-victory in this Brooklyn-Queens area. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among key voting blocs could still alter outcomes, though historical base rates for similar safe seats show minimal movement absent such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$30,371 Vol.
$30,371 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
1%
$30,371 Vol.
$30,371 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
$15,469 Vol.
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
$14,902 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 23, 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in an open seat race following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. The district’s D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around her general election prospects against Republican Melvin Rivera on November 3. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican path-to-victory in this Brooklyn-Queens area. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among key voting blocs could still alter outcomes, though historical base rates for similar safe seats show minimal movement absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$30,371End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 23, 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in an open seat race following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. The district’s D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around her general election prospects against Republican Melvin Rivera on November 3. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican path-to-victory in this Brooklyn-Queens area. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among key voting blocs could still alter outcomes, though historical base rates for similar safe seats show minimal movement absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,371End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 23, 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in an open seat race following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. The district’s D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around her general election prospects against Republican Melvin Rivera on November 3. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican path-to-victory in this Brooklyn-Queens area. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout shift among key voting blocs could still alter outcomes, though historical base rates for similar safe seats show minimal movement absent such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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