Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a contest that highlighted divisions within the city’s progressive coalition. The district, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens and rated solidly Democratic with a strong partisan voting index, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a seat where Democratic primary winners have historically prevailed in the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$30,386 Vol.
$30,386 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
1%
$30,386 Vol.
$30,386 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
$15,484 Vol.
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
$14,902 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a contest that highlighted divisions within the city’s progressive coalition. The district, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens and rated solidly Democratic with a strong partisan voting index, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a seat where Democratic primary winners have historically prevailed in the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$30,386End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a contest that highlighted divisions within the city’s progressive coalition. The district, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens and rated solidly Democratic with a strong partisan voting index, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a seat where Democratic primary winners have historically prevailed in the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,386End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a contest that highlighted divisions within the city’s progressive coalition. The district, covering parts of Brooklyn and Queens and rated solidly Democratic with a strong partisan voting index, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a seat where Democratic primary winners have historically prevailed in the general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant turnout shifts, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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