Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a race marked by competing progressive endorsements. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding D+25. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$30,386 Vol.
$30,386 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
1%
$30,386 Vol.
$30,386 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
$15,484 Vol.
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
$14,902 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a race marked by competing progressive endorsements. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding D+25. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$30,386End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a race marked by competing progressive endorsements. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding D+25. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,386End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points in a race marked by competing progressive endorsements. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with a partisan lean exceeding D+25. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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