Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points with strong backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and local Democratic Socialists of America organizations. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a solidly Democratic area spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens, where historical voting patterns and registration advantages have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera, who advanced unopposed in his party’s primary, faces structural barriers typical of the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$30,371 Vol.
$30,371 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
1%
$30,371 Vol.
$30,371 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claire Valdez (D)
$15,469 Vol.
96%
Melvin Rivera (R)
$14,902 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points with strong backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and local Democratic Socialists of America organizations. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a solidly Democratic area spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens, where historical voting patterns and registration advantages have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera, who advanced unopposed in his party’s primary, faces structural barriers typical of the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$30,371End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points with strong backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and local Democratic Socialists of America organizations. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a solidly Democratic area spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens, where historical voting patterns and registration advantages have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera, who advanced unopposed in his party’s primary, faces structural barriers typical of the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,371End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th Congressional District in a June 2026 primary victory, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points with strong backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and local Democratic Socialists of America organizations. The open seat, vacated by longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez, lies in a solidly Democratic area spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens, where historical voting patterns and registration advantages have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Republican nominee Melvin Rivera, who advanced unopposed in his party’s primary, faces structural barriers typical of the district’s partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Valdez reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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