Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic tilt in South and Central Brooklyn, her long incumbency since 2007, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 where she secured roughly 68% against challengers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on historical voting patterns exceeding 70% for Democrats in recent cycles. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path with limited visibility and fundraising. Traders price in low volatility absent major disruptions before November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could still alter the outcome in this otherwise low-uncertainty contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$61,207 Vol.
$61,207 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Yvette Clarke (D)
95%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R)
2%
$61,207 Vol.
$61,207 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Yvette Clarke (D)
$19,482 Vol.
95%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R)
$41,726 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic tilt in South and Central Brooklyn, her long incumbency since 2007, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 where she secured roughly 68% against challengers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on historical voting patterns exceeding 70% for Democrats in recent cycles. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path with limited visibility and fundraising. Traders price in low volatility absent major disruptions before November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could still alter the outcome in this otherwise low-uncertainty contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$61,207End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic tilt in South and Central Brooklyn, her long incumbency since 2007, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 where she secured roughly 68% against challengers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on historical voting patterns exceeding 70% for Democrats in recent cycles. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path with limited visibility and fundraising. Traders price in low volatility absent major disruptions before November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could still alter the outcome in this otherwise low-uncertainty contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,207End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic tilt in South and Central Brooklyn, her long incumbency since 2007, and decisive primary victory in June 2026 where she secured roughly 68% against challengers. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on historical voting patterns exceeding 70% for Democrats in recent cycles. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path with limited visibility and fundraising. Traders price in low volatility absent major disruptions before November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan swing could still alter the outcome in this otherwise low-uncertainty contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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