The strong Democratic tilt of New York’s 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders have yet to generate meaningful momentum or fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate and historical turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican general-election performance driven by national headwinds, a late primary surprise, or sustained shifts in local voter priorities on issues such as housing and public safety.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,655 Vol.
$29,655 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$29,655 Vol.
$29,655 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,365 Vol.
94%
共和党
$12,290 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of New York’s 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders have yet to generate meaningful momentum or fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate and historical turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican general-election performance driven by national headwinds, a late primary surprise, or sustained shifts in local voter priorities on issues such as housing and public safety.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$29,655終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of New York’s 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders have yet to generate meaningful momentum or fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate and historical turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican general-election performance driven by national headwinds, a late primary surprise, or sustained shifts in local voter priorities on issues such as housing and public safety.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,655終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic tilt of New York’s 9th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders have yet to generate meaningful momentum or fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate and historical turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican general-election performance driven by national headwinds, a late primary surprise, or sustained shifts in local voter priorities on issues such as housing and public safety.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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