Yvette Clarke’s commanding position stems from her status as a long-serving incumbent in a Brooklyn-based district with a deep Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. She won her June 23 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating strong party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faced no primary opposition and trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 50 points. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national shift would realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$61,207 Vol.
$61,207 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Yvette Clarke (D)
95%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R)
2%
$61,207 Vol.
$61,207 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Yvette Clarke (D)
$19,482 Vol.
95%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R)
$41,726 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke’s commanding position stems from her status as a long-serving incumbent in a Brooklyn-based district with a deep Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. She won her June 23 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating strong party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faced no primary opposition and trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 50 points. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national shift would realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$61,207End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke’s commanding position stems from her status as a long-serving incumbent in a Brooklyn-based district with a deep Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. She won her June 23 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating strong party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faced no primary opposition and trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 50 points. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national shift would realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,207End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Yvette Clarke’s commanding position stems from her status as a long-serving incumbent in a Brooklyn-based district with a deep Democratic lean, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. She won her June 23 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating strong party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faced no primary opposition and trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 50 points. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national shift would realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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