Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu, representing California's 28th Congressional District since 2009, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's D+15 partisan lean and her consistent reelection margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing the seat's safe Democratic status per Cook Political Report ratings. Recent district-focused events, like Chu's April 4 Congressional Women of the Year awards, highlight her local engagement without shifting dynamics. While late scandals or primary surprises could narrow odds, structural advantages and historical base rates favor continuation of Democratic control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$66,619 Vol.
$66,619 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
$66,619 Vol.
$66,619 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$36,344 Vol.
90%
共和党
$30,275 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu, representing California's 28th Congressional District since 2009, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's D+15 partisan lean and her consistent reelection margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing the seat's safe Democratic status per Cook Political Report ratings. Recent district-focused events, like Chu's April 4 Congressional Women of the Year awards, highlight her local engagement without shifting dynamics. While late scandals or primary surprises could narrow odds, structural advantages and historical base rates favor continuation of Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$66,619終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu, representing California's 28th Congressional District since 2009, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's D+15 partisan lean and her consistent reelection margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing the seat's safe Democratic status per Cook Political Report ratings. Recent district-focused events, like Chu's April 4 Congressional Women of the Year awards, highlight her local engagement without shifting dynamics. While late scandals or primary surprises could narrow odds, structural advantages and historical base rates favor continuation of Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$66,619終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu, representing California's 28th Congressional District since 2009, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's D+15 partisan lean and her consistent reelection margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles. No formidable Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, reinforcing the seat's safe Democratic status per Cook Political Report ratings. Recent district-focused events, like Chu's April 4 Congressional Women of the Year awards, highlight her local engagement without shifting dynamics. While late scandals or primary surprises could narrow odds, structural advantages and historical base rates favor continuation of Democratic control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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