The Democratic incumbent holds a commanding position in Illinois’ Sixth Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with a Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and the incumbent’s primary performance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns in districts that have favored one party by similar margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a significant national political realignment, late-emerging candidate controversies, or health-related developments affecting either nominee before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,127 Vol.
$27,127 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
$27,127 Vol.
$27,127 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$10,032 Vol.
92%
共和党
$17,095 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent holds a commanding position in Illinois’ Sixth Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with a Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and the incumbent’s primary performance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns in districts that have favored one party by similar margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a significant national political realignment, late-emerging candidate controversies, or health-related developments affecting either nominee before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$27,127終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent holds a commanding position in Illinois’ Sixth Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with a Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and the incumbent’s primary performance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns in districts that have favored one party by similar margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a significant national political realignment, late-emerging candidate controversies, or health-related developments affecting either nominee before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,127終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic incumbent holds a commanding position in Illinois’ Sixth Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with a Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and the incumbent’s primary performance. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns in districts that have favored one party by similar margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a significant national political realignment, late-emerging candidate controversies, or health-related developments affecting either nominee before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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