Incumbent Republican Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Obernolte's strong fundraising—over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025—dwarfs Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis, reflecting trader consensus on his reelection path ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. No recent polling or major developments have emerged since the March filing deadline, underscoring the district's entrenched Republican lean and limited Democratic viability despite statewide mid-decade redistricting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,087 Vol.
86%
民主党
$2,338 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Obernolte's strong fundraising—over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025—dwarfs Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis, reflecting trader consensus on his reelection path ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. No recent polling or major developments have emerged since the March filing deadline, underscoring the district's entrenched Republican lean and limited Democratic viability despite statewide mid-decade redistricting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$9,425終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Obernolte's strong fundraising—over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025—dwarfs Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis, reflecting trader consensus on his reelection path ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. No recent polling or major developments have emerged since the March filing deadline, underscoring the district's entrenched Republican lean and limited Democratic viability despite statewide mid-decade redistricting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,425終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a partisan voter index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Obernolte's strong fundraising—over $1.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025—dwarfs Democratic challengers Tessa Lynn Hodge and Pat Wallis, reflecting trader consensus on his reelection path ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. No recent polling or major developments have emerged since the March filing deadline, underscoring the district's entrenched Republican lean and limited Democratic viability despite statewide mid-decade redistricting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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