2026年8月7日
速報
過去24時間に最も動いたポリマーケットを見る

アンディ・オグルズはテネシー第5区の共和党委員候補になりますか?

トランプは8月15日までに新たなUFO資料を機密解除する?

OpenAIのAstraモデルは2026年8月15日までにリリースされますか?

Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?


マルセロはクリスティアーノ・ロナウドの結婚式に出席しますか?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?


エド・ケースはHI-01選挙区の民主党候補者になりますか?


Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?

8月31日までに『スパイダーマン:ブランド・ニュー・デイ』の国内総興行収入は9億ドル以上になりますか?


Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?


アンジー・クレイグはミネソタ州の上院議員選挙で民主党の指名候補になりますか?

Grok 4.6は2026年8月7日までにリリースされますか?

マックス・ミラーは8月9日までにOH-07選挙戦から撤退しますか?

ロシアは8月31日までにコスチャンティニウカを占領しますか?

Gemini 4.0は2026年9月30日までにリリースされますか?


2026年9月の会合後、FRBの金利に変更はありませんか?

2026年にアメリカで麻疹の症例が少なくとも4,000件発生しますか?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

7月31日までに米国とイランの実効的な停戦は成立するか?

SpaceXスターシップのフライトテスト14は8月31日までに打ち上げられますか?

ローンチの翌日、Ostium FDVは5,000万ドルを超えましたか?

2026年9月の会合までにFRB利上げはあるか?

2027年までに新しい国がアブラハム合意に参加しますか?

Hyperliquid HIP-3の未決済建玉は2026年に50億ドルに達しますか?
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Polymarketの動向を毎日メールでお知らせします
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England’s obesity rate surges to a record 30%, double its 1993 level.
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Sergey Brin to reportedly take direct oversight of Gemini as Google restructures its AI leadership.
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Marco Rubio declares there are “no escape valves” for Cuba as the Trump administration ramps up its pressure campaign.
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Bank of America expects Fed to hike interest rates by 75 basis points this year despite weakening U.S. jobs data.
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U.S. official says Iran & Oman are making progress on a Strait of Hormuz deal & “we expect a deal soon.”
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Trump calls Abdul El-Sayed a “lovely gentleman”
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U.S. Army orders at least $400 million in laser weapons designed to shoot down drones.
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Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito declares he’s “here for another term,” signaling he does not plan to retire this year.
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Nearly half of executives have delayed or scaled back AI-agent deployments after costs exceeded benefits. — KPMG
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Will Sneako be deported?
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3,000+ University of California faculty members push to bring back the SAT in admissions, after professors warn students are arriving "underprepared."
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6-foot-10 former NBA player Enes Kanter Freedom officially declares himself eligible for the 2027 WNBA Draft.

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“Republicans for Abdul El-Sayed” account launches on 𝕏.
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U.S. sanctions Dubai crypto exchange Shelbit over alleged ties to Iran’s IRGC.
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Don Lemon asks federal judge to throw out charges in the Minnesota church protest case, accusing the DOJ of “vindictive prosecution.”
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Trump officially endorses Charlie Hatcher after Ogles’ loss, saying Ogles had “virtually no chance of winning.”
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Take-Two reveals GTA VI preorders are “unprecedented”
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Senate overwhelmingly passes the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act.
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Federal judge allows Trump administration to terminate Temporary Protected Status for South Sudanese migrants.
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Live-shopping app Whatnot raises $545 million at a $20,000,000,000.00 valuation, nearly doubling its value in less than a year.
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Trump announces he will immediately take the White House ballroom fight to the Supreme Court, calling the appeals ruling a “National Security threat.”
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Spanish police arrest 78 people & dismantle what authorities call one of the Mediterranean’s largest human smuggling networks.
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OpenAI to slow development of its upcoming Astra model after saying it “cannot rule out” that the system has dangerous cyber capabilities.
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AOC surges ahead of Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential odds for the first time, as democratic socialism expands its national reach. 11% chance AOC takes the White House.

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Italy declares it will not bow to “ultimatums or impositions” & will keep border checks in place.
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Federal appeals court halts Trump’s ballroom project, gives administration 14 days to appeal to the Supreme Court.
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Mount Vernon deputy public safety commissioner charged with attempted murder after allegedly acting as the “getaway driver” in her son’s gang-related shooting.
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Texas Children’s Hospital ordered to open the country’s first “detransition clinic”
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U.S. Army opens 5 military test ranges to private defense firms to accelerate weapons development.
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Cambridge University will review how it hires senior academics after professor Jason Arday resigned amid plagiarism allegations.
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OpenAI’s “Astra” model projected to be released by the end of the month. 78% chance.
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Sen. Cassidy to vote “Yes” on Todd Blanche’s attorney general nomination, likely securing the votes needed for confirmation.
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Andrew & Tristan Tate ask to be released on bail from Miami jail, arguing it would be “extraordinarily difficult” for them to flee undetected due to their celebrity status.
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Pentagon releases a fifth batch of UFO files, including 41 new documents, images, & videos dating from 1950 to 2026.
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Trump warns Congress is trying to regulate the AI industry “out of business.”
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SpaceX stock now up +14% on the week.
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Canada’s unemployment rate falls to 6.4%, its lowest level in two years.
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Spain threatens “proportionate measures” against Italy if new border controls are not lifted by next week.
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“Functionally illiterate” U.S. workers now earn roughly the same per hour as the average British worker. — FT
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Take-Two reaffirms GTA VI will launch on November 19, with pre-orders off to an “exceptional start.”
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Spain to begin transferring unaccompanied migrant minors from Ceuta to the mainland within weeks.
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China opens its first school for robots, where humanoids will be trained before entering the workforce.
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U.S. employers unexpectedly cut 23,000 jobs in July, with May & June revised down by a combined 103,000.
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U.S. unemployment falls to 4.1% in July.
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China’s Kimi K3 reportedly escaped its sandbox during cybersecurity testing & accessed the open internet without permission.
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Trump declares AI could be “bigger than oil”
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Trump-endorsed Rep. Andy Ogles is unseated in Tennessee’s Republican primary.
新しいポリマーケット
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
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Two capybaras trespass into a Brazilian legislature before being escorted out.
新しいポリマーケット
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
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Masked man accused of stalking former Prince Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor after allegedly chasing his vehicle near Sandringham.
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Severe drought along the Danube reveals a 1,700-year-old Roman bridge in Bulgaria.
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France formally offers India 114 Rafale fighter jets in a potential $34 billion deal.
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ChatGPT outage on...?
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Taiwanese troops deploy barriers & barbed wire on a key bridge during drills for a potential Chinese invasion.
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Japan orders nearly 260,000 people to evacuate & cancels more than 500 flights as Typhoon Dolphin approaches.
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Elon Musk announces the Terafab mega-factory will be 50x larger than the Pentagon.
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New Mexico judge orders Meta to pay $567 million & cap minors’ platform use at 90 hours per month.
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Indie developers report a massive surge in Meta AI scraping on their sites, with some saying it has overloaded their servers.
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Gavin Newsom’s PAC is recruiting “Messengers” to send pro-Democrat content into family text chains, alumni groups, & other online spaces. — NYP
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Peruvian football club covers its jersey with 1,000 sponsors after selling each spot for about $60.
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OpenAI announces unlimited text chats with GPT-5.6 Luna for all Free & Go users starting tomorrow.
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DOJ launches investigations into San José State & San Francisco State over pro-Palestinian campus protests.
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President Trump reveals the United States military has an "unlimited supply" of munitions.
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The share of Americans who believe climate change is happening has fallen to 66%, down from 73% last year — AP-NORC poll
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Former Mexican Gov. Ángel Aguirre arrested for allegedly destroying evidence in the case of 43 students who disappeared in 2014.
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Turkey, Saudi Arabia, & Pakistan to reportedly sign a joint defense pact on Friday.
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Wintermute secures a U.S. broker-dealer license, clearing the way to become a market maker on the NYSE & Nasdaq.
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Mexico’s central bank holds interest rates at 6.50%.