2026年8月8日
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過去24時間に最も動いたポリマーケットを見る

OpenAIのAstraモデルは2026年8月31日までにリリースされますか?

トッド・ブランチが8月30日までに司法長官として承認されましたか?


Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

ケイトリン・オルソン – 「ハックス」は2026年エミー賞コメディシリーズ部門ゲスト女優賞を受賞するでしょうか?


ボトンド・フュロップは次のハンガリー大統領になりますか?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

スパイダーマン:ブランニュー・デイの国内総興行収入は8月31日までに8億〜9億ドルの間になるでしょうか?


ピアーズ・モーガンはクリスティアーノ・ロナウドの結婚式に出席しますか?

Alofokeは2027年6月30日までにドミニカ共和国で政党を結成しますか?

2026年にアメリカで麻疹の症例が少なくとも4,000件発生しますか?

GPT-6は2026年8月31日までにリリースされますか?

Anthropicは2026年10月31日までに新規株式公開(IPO)しますか?


Anthropicは2026年9月末時点でナンバーワンのAIモデルを持っていますか?

米国は2026年8月7日までにイランの封鎖解除を発表?

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

Grok 4.6は2026年8月14日までにリリースされますか?

メキシコの2026年の年間インフレ率は4.00%から4.49%の間になりますか?

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

次のGoogle Gemini Proモデルは2026年8月21日までにリリースされますか?

ロシアは2026年12月31日までにオリヒウを占領しますか?

ジーニーン・ピロは8月31日までにワシントンD.C.の連邦検事を退任するのか?

FCCが2026年12月31日までに主要ネットワークの放送免許を取り消すか?

イスラエル銀行は、9月の決定後にイスラエル銀行の政策金利を変更しないのでしょうか?

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
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Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
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China blames Trump’s tariffs for a “tortuous” disruption to U.S.-China soybean trade.
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Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
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Congo investigates reports that as much as 5,000 tons of uranium left the country mixed into cobalt exports.
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# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?
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Congo’s Ebola outbreak surpasses 4,000 confirmed cases.
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Spain’s far left & far right unite oppose Morocco co-hosting the 2030 World Cup after the Ceuta migration crisis.
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Norway’s football federation calls for FIFA President Gianni Infantino’s resignation.
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Hungary warns severe drought could knock its main nuclear plant offline for at least a month.
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Zelensky makes his first visit to Serbia for talks with President Aleksandar Vučić.
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Mamdani announces NYC is firing Haitian city workers whose work permits expired after the Supreme Court allowed Trump to end TPS protections.
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ICC urges Chad & Venezuela to stay as five countries move to leave the court.
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Just 7% of executives say they can demonstrate returns on AI spending, as corporate costs continue to climb. — KPMG
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President Trump teases a 2028 presidential run in latest Truth Social post.

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Mexico & Peru restore diplomatic relations after a months-long asylum dispute.
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Claude Code can now autonomously message users’ other Claude Code sessions while they work in parallel.
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NYC homeowners sue over Mayor Mamdani’s rollout of a new tax on second homes, alleging the city wrongly flagged thousands of properties.
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Colombia’s new president Abelardo De La Espriella officially takes office, pledging a crackdown on the country’s “cocaine armies.”

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Cornell University bans students from processing wild game in dorm kitchens after two students butchered a bear to make “black bear pastrami.”
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Spain imposes border controls on all air & sea travel from Italy as tensions escalate over the Ceuta migrant surge.
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The Trump administration is reportedly exploring who could lead Cuba in a post-communist transition.
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𝕏 is ending its Revenue Sharing program & replacing it with a new “Original Content Rewards” program focused on original posts.
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Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?
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AI data center firm Switch reportedly files confidentially for a U.S. IPO as soon as November.
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Trump Media pulls back from crypto ventures as interim CEO Kevin McGurn says the company wants to “get focused.”
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Declassified UFO files reveal the U.S. investigated claims of a “dead spaceman” found inside a mysterious sphere that crashed in Brazil in 1963.
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Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
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Treasury Sec. Bessent announces the Trump administration will crack down on banks providing financial services to undocumented immigrants.
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South Dakota unveils a bronze statue honoring former Gov. Kristi Noem & her tenure as governor.

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Clarity Act odds crash to an all-time low as the Senate heads for its month-long August recess. 14% chance.

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S&P 500 closes at new record high.
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Starlink is preparing to challenge T-Mobile, Verizon, & AT&T with a rival cellular service expected by late 2027.
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England’s obesity rate surges to a record 30%, double its 1993 level.
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Sergey Brin to reportedly take direct oversight of Gemini as Google restructures its AI leadership.
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Marco Rubio declares there are “no escape valves” for Cuba as the Trump administration ramps up its pressure campaign.
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Bank of America expects Fed to hike interest rates by 75 basis points this year despite weakening U.S. jobs data.
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U.S. official says Iran & Oman are making progress on a Strait of Hormuz deal & “we expect a deal soon.”
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Trump calls Abdul El-Sayed a “lovely gentleman”
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U.S. Army orders at least $400 million in laser weapons designed to shoot down drones.
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Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito declares he’s “here for another term,” signaling he does not plan to retire this year.
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Nearly half of executives have delayed or scaled back AI-agent deployments after costs exceeded benefits. — KPMG
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Will Sneako be deported?
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3,000+ University of California faculty members push to bring back the SAT in admissions, after professors warn students are arriving "underprepared."
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6-foot-10 former NBA player Enes Kanter Freedom officially declares himself eligible for the 2027 WNBA Draft.

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“Republicans for Abdul El-Sayed” account launches on 𝕏.
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U.S. sanctions Dubai crypto exchange Shelbit over alleged ties to Iran’s IRGC.
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Don Lemon asks federal judge to throw out charges in the Minnesota church protest case, accusing the DOJ of “vindictive prosecution.”
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Trump officially endorses Charlie Hatcher after Ogles’ loss, saying Ogles had “virtually no chance of winning.”
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Take-Two reveals GTA VI preorders are “unprecedented”
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Senate overwhelmingly passes the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act.
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Federal judge allows Trump administration to terminate Temporary Protected Status for South Sudanese migrants.
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Live-shopping app Whatnot raises $545 million at a $20,000,000,000.00 valuation, nearly doubling its value in less than a year.
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Trump announces he will immediately take the White House ballroom fight to the Supreme Court, calling the appeals ruling a “National Security threat.”
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Spanish police arrest 78 people & dismantle what authorities call one of the Mediterranean’s largest human smuggling networks.
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OpenAI to slow development of its upcoming Astra model after saying it “cannot rule out” that the system has dangerous cyber capabilities.
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AOC surges ahead of Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential odds for the first time, as democratic socialism expands its national reach. 11% chance AOC takes the White House.

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Italy declares it will not bow to “ultimatums or impositions” & will keep border checks in place.
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Federal appeals court halts Trump’s ballroom project, gives administration 14 days to appeal to the Supreme Court.
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Mount Vernon deputy public safety commissioner charged with attempted murder after allegedly acting as the “getaway driver” in her son’s gang-related shooting.
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Texas Children’s Hospital ordered to open the country’s first “detransition clinic”
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U.S. Army opens 5 military test ranges to private defense firms to accelerate weapons development.
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Cambridge University will review how it hires senior academics after professor Jason Arday resigned amid plagiarism allegations.
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OpenAI’s “Astra” model projected to be released by the end of the month. 78% chance.
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Sen. Cassidy to vote “Yes” on Todd Blanche’s attorney general nomination, likely securing the votes needed for confirmation.
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Andrew & Tristan Tate ask to be released on bail from Miami jail, arguing it would be “extraordinarily difficult” for them to flee undetected due to their celebrity status.
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Pentagon releases a fifth batch of UFO files, including 41 new documents, images, & videos dating from 1950 to 2026.
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Trump warns Congress is trying to regulate the AI industry “out of business.”