Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the TX-01 House race due to the district's consistent conservative voting patterns across East Texas counties, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz exceeded 70 percent support in 2024. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination in a recent primary runoff, yet faces structural barriers including low Democratic registration and turnout in this rural, solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as candidate filings or national polling shifts altering the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, major scandal involving Moran, or unexpected surge in early voting could narrow the gap, though historical margins suggest such scenarios remain low-probability before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,917 Vol.
$17,917 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$17,917 Vol.
$17,917 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,274 Vol.
94%
民主党
$13,643 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the TX-01 House race due to the district's consistent conservative voting patterns across East Texas counties, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz exceeded 70 percent support in 2024. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination in a recent primary runoff, yet faces structural barriers including low Democratic registration and turnout in this rural, solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as candidate filings or national polling shifts altering the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, major scandal involving Moran, or unexpected surge in early voting could narrow the gap, though historical margins suggest such scenarios remain low-probability before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$17,917終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the TX-01 House race due to the district's consistent conservative voting patterns across East Texas counties, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz exceeded 70 percent support in 2024. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination in a recent primary runoff, yet faces structural barriers including low Democratic registration and turnout in this rural, solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as candidate filings or national polling shifts altering the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, major scandal involving Moran, or unexpected surge in early voting could narrow the gap, though historical margins suggest such scenarios remain low-probability before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,917終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the TX-01 House race due to the district's consistent conservative voting patterns across East Texas counties, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz exceeded 70 percent support in 2024. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination in a recent primary runoff, yet faces structural barriers including low Democratic registration and turnout in this rural, solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as candidate filings or national polling shifts altering the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, major scandal involving Moran, or unexpected surge in early voting could narrow the gap, though historical margins suggest such scenarios remain low-probability before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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