Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% to win Texas' 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Nathaniel Moran's unchallenged March 3 primary victory, where he secured 100% of the vote. Moran, who won unopposed in 2024 and by 78% in 2022, benefits from robust fundraising with over $600,000 cash on hand and prior endorsements like former President Trump's. Democrats advanced Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander to the May 26 primary runoff, but low turnout and fundraising underscore the uphill battle in this solidly Republican East Texas seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Republican scandal or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents show formidable barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,625 Vol.
94%
民主党
$3,487 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% to win Texas' 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Nathaniel Moran's unchallenged March 3 primary victory, where he secured 100% of the vote. Moran, who won unopposed in 2024 and by 78% in 2022, benefits from robust fundraising with over $600,000 cash on hand and prior endorsements like former President Trump's. Democrats advanced Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander to the May 26 primary runoff, but low turnout and fundraising underscore the uphill battle in this solidly Republican East Texas seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Republican scandal or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents show formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$7,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% to win Texas' 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Nathaniel Moran's unchallenged March 3 primary victory, where he secured 100% of the vote. Moran, who won unopposed in 2024 and by 78% in 2022, benefits from robust fundraising with over $600,000 cash on hand and prior endorsements like former President Trump's. Democrats advanced Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander to the May 26 primary runoff, but low turnout and fundraising underscore the uphill battle in this solidly Republican East Texas seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Republican scandal or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents show formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% to win Texas' 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Nathaniel Moran's unchallenged March 3 primary victory, where he secured 100% of the vote. Moran, who won unopposed in 2024 and by 78% in 2022, benefits from robust fundraising with over $600,000 cash on hand and prior endorsements like former President Trump's. Democrats advanced Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander to the May 26 primary runoff, but low turnout and fundraising underscore the uphill battle in this solidly Republican East Texas seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a major Republican scandal or national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, though historical precedents show formidable barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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