The Virginia 2nd District race pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a rematch within a military-focused swing district that has changed hands multiple times since 2008. Luria secured her nomination with over 80% in the August 4 primary, backed by major Democratic endorsements and substantial fundraising. Recent polling shows the candidates starting tied before Luria edges ahead once voters review biographies, aided by Donald Trump’s net-negative favorability in the area. Traders assign Luria the clear lead as early voting approaches on September 18, reflecting her prior tenure, name recognition, and the district’s partisan responsiveness amid broader midterm dynamics, though independents on the ballot add some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,256 Vol.
$42,256 Vol.
2026/11/03
エレイン・ルリア（民主党）
82%
ジェン・キガンズ（共和党）
18%
$42,256 Vol.
$42,256 Vol.
2026/11/03
エレイン・ルリア（民主党）
$18,659 Vol.
82%
ジェン・キガンズ（共和党）
$23,597 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia 2nd District race pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a rematch within a military-focused swing district that has changed hands multiple times since 2008. Luria secured her nomination with over 80% in the August 4 primary, backed by major Democratic endorsements and substantial fundraising. Recent polling shows the candidates starting tied before Luria edges ahead once voters review biographies, aided by Donald Trump’s net-negative favorability in the area. Traders assign Luria the clear lead as early voting approaches on September 18, reflecting her prior tenure, name recognition, and the district’s partisan responsiveness amid broader midterm dynamics, though independents on the ballot add some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$42,256終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia 2nd District race pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a rematch within a military-focused swing district that has changed hands multiple times since 2008. Luria secured her nomination with over 80% in the August 4 primary, backed by major Democratic endorsements and substantial fundraising. Recent polling shows the candidates starting tied before Luria edges ahead once voters review biographies, aided by Donald Trump’s net-negative favorability in the area. Traders assign Luria the clear lead as early voting approaches on September 18, reflecting her prior tenure, name recognition, and the district’s partisan responsiveness amid broader midterm dynamics, though independents on the ballot add some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,256終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Virginia 2nd District race pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a rematch within a military-focused swing district that has changed hands multiple times since 2008. Luria secured her nomination with over 80% in the August 4 primary, backed by major Democratic endorsements and substantial fundraising. Recent polling shows the candidates starting tied before Luria edges ahead once voters review biographies, aided by Donald Trump’s net-negative favorability in the area. Traders assign Luria the clear lead as early voting approaches on September 18, reflecting her prior tenure, name recognition, and the district’s partisan responsiveness amid broader midterm dynamics, though independents on the ballot add some uncertainty ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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