Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's dominant 2024 win (59.5%-40.2%), and Trump's 14-point 2024 margin amid limited Democratic strength. The Democratic Party outcome trades at 14%, reflecting a split primary field with challengers Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II—who lost decisively to Wilson last cycle—filing after the March 17 opening, ahead of the March 30 deadline and June 9 primaries. Specific candidate outcomes (A, B) and Other hover near even money, signaling uncertainty over nominees in this early stage with no polls yet and no Republican primary challengers to Wilson.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
85%
民主党
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's dominant 2024 win (59.5%-40.2%), and Trump's 14-point 2024 margin amid limited Democratic strength. The Democratic Party outcome trades at 14%, reflecting a split primary field with challengers Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II—who lost decisively to Wilson last cycle—filing after the March 17 opening, ahead of the March 30 deadline and June 9 primaries. Specific candidate outcomes (A, B) and Other hover near even money, signaling uncertainty over nominees in this early stage with no polls yet and no Republican primary challengers to Wilson.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's dominant 2024 win (59.5%-40.2%), and Trump's 14-point 2024 margin amid limited Democratic strength. The Democratic Party outcome trades at 14%, reflecting a split primary field with challengers Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II—who lost decisively to Wilson last cycle—filing after the March 17 opening, ahead of the March 30 deadline and June 9 primaries. Specific candidate outcomes (A, B) and Other hover near even money, signaling uncertainty over nominees in this early stage with no polls yet and no Republican primary challengers to Wilson.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican Party victory at 85% implied probability in South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's Solid Republican rating (R+7 PVI), incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's dominant 2024 win (59.5%-40.2%), and Trump's 14-point 2024 margin amid limited Democratic strength. The Democratic Party outcome trades at 14%, reflecting a split primary field with challengers Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II—who lost decisively to Wilson last cycle—filing after the March 17 opening, ahead of the March 30 deadline and June 9 primaries. Specific candidate outcomes (A, B) and Other hover near even money, signaling uncertainty over nominees in this early stage with no polls yet and no Republican primary challengers to Wilson.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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