Incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo (D) holds a commanding position in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District ahead of the September 8, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for Democrats amid the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Amo's 63% 2024 victory. No Republican candidate has filed with the FEC, reinforcing forecasters like Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and expectations of no reelection obstacles. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, the low 6.5% Republican odds reflect entrenched Democratic dominance in this Providence-area battleground. Upsets could arise from a strong GOP recruit, Amo scandal, primary challenge, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$1,034 Vol.
92%
共和党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo (D) holds a commanding position in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District ahead of the September 8, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for Democrats amid the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Amo's 63% 2024 victory. No Republican candidate has filed with the FEC, reinforcing forecasters like Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and expectations of no reelection obstacles. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, the low 6.5% Republican odds reflect entrenched Democratic dominance in this Providence-area battleground. Upsets could arise from a strong GOP recruit, Amo scandal, primary challenge, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers persist.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$1,034終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo (D) holds a commanding position in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District ahead of the September 8, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for Democrats amid the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Amo's 63% 2024 victory. No Republican candidate has filed with the FEC, reinforcing forecasters like Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and expectations of no reelection obstacles. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, the low 6.5% Republican odds reflect entrenched Democratic dominance in this Providence-area battleground. Upsets could arise from a strong GOP recruit, Amo scandal, primary challenge, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers persist.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,034終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo (D) holds a commanding position in Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District ahead of the September 8, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for Democrats amid the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Amo's 63% 2024 victory. No Republican candidate has filed with the FEC, reinforcing forecasters like Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and expectations of no reelection obstacles. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, the low 6.5% Republican odds reflect entrenched Democratic dominance in this Providence-area battleground. Upsets could arise from a strong GOP recruit, Amo scandal, primary challenge, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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