Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with incumbent Gabe Amo securing 63 percent of the vote in 2024 against a Republican opponent. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Amo’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of major local controversies or national shifts capable of altering the seat’s baseline have kept probabilities stable. A substantial Republican surge on the national generic ballot or an unusually strong challenger could narrow the margin, though historical results suggest such scenarios remain low-probability events at this stage of the cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,462 Vol.
93%
共和党
$909 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with incumbent Gabe Amo securing 63 percent of the vote in 2024 against a Republican opponent. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Amo’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of major local controversies or national shifts capable of altering the seat’s baseline have kept probabilities stable. A substantial Republican surge on the national generic ballot or an unusually strong challenger could narrow the margin, though historical results suggest such scenarios remain low-probability events at this stage of the cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$4,371終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with incumbent Gabe Amo securing 63 percent of the vote in 2024 against a Republican opponent. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Amo’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of major local controversies or national shifts capable of altering the seat’s baseline have kept probabilities stable. A substantial Republican surge on the national generic ballot or an unusually strong challenger could narrow the margin, though historical results suggest such scenarios remain low-probability events at this stage of the cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,371終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, with incumbent Gabe Amo securing 63 percent of the vote in 2024 against a Republican opponent. The district’s partisan composition, combined with Amo’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the September 2026 primary and November general election, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of major local controversies or national shifts capable of altering the seat’s baseline have kept probabilities stable. A substantial Republican surge on the national generic ballot or an unusually strong challenger could narrow the margin, though historical results suggest such scenarios remain low-probability events at this stage of the cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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