The Texas 2nd congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating and historical voting patterns, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. State Representative Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. With the November 3 general election approaching and no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported, the race remains non-competitive. Structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index and absence of competitive challengers sustain the implied probability, though late developments could still influence outcomes in the final months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,510 Vol.
84%
民主党
$4,473 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 2nd congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating and historical voting patterns, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. State Representative Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. With the November 3 general election approaching and no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported, the race remains non-competitive. Structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index and absence of competitive challengers sustain the implied probability, though late developments could still influence outcomes in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$8,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 2nd congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating and historical voting patterns, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. State Representative Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. With the November 3 general election approaching and no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported, the race remains non-competitive. Structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index and absence of competitive challengers sustain the implied probability, though late developments could still influence outcomes in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,983終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 2nd congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid R rating and historical voting patterns, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. State Representative Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary by defeating four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. With the November 3 general election approaching and no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported, the race remains non-competitive. Structural factors such as the district's partisan voting index and absence of competitive challengers sustain the implied probability, though late developments could still influence outcomes in the final months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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