Republican incumbent Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5% over the Democratic Party at 19.5% aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and LaLota’s 2024 margin. An early December 2025 poll showed the incumbent ahead of a leading Democratic primary contender by three points. Both parties face June 23 primaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with Democrats fielding multiple challengers but limited outside investment in the race. No major recent shifts have altered the competitive landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,601 Vol.
$20,601 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
54%
民主党
19%
$20,601 Vol.
$20,601 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,533 Vol.
54%
民主党
$14,068 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5% over the Democratic Party at 19.5% aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and LaLota’s 2024 margin. An early December 2025 poll showed the incumbent ahead of a leading Democratic primary contender by three points. Both parties face June 23 primaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with Democrats fielding multiple challengers but limited outside investment in the race. No major recent shifts have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$20,601終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5% over the Democratic Party at 19.5% aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and LaLota’s 2024 margin. An early December 2025 poll showed the incumbent ahead of a leading Democratic primary contender by three points. Both parties face June 23 primaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with Democrats fielding multiple challengers but limited outside investment in the race. No major recent shifts have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,601終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 53.5% over the Democratic Party at 19.5% aligns with the district’s partisan voting index and LaLota’s 2024 margin. An early December 2025 poll showed the incumbent ahead of a leading Democratic primary contender by three points. Both parties face June 23 primaries ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with Democrats fielding multiple challengers but limited outside investment in the race. No major recent shifts have altered the competitive landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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