Incumbent Republican Roger Williams, seeking reelection in Texas's 25th Congressional District, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Dione Sims on November 3. The district, redrawn in mid-2025 and rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, favors Republicans with a partisan lean exceeding R+10 based on recent presidential voting patterns, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% for the GOP amid Williams' history of double-digit victories. Sims' primary win drew attention as the granddaughter of civil rights advocate Opal Lee, but no recent polling or scandals has shifted the race from its baseline incumbency advantage in this safe seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,799 Vol.
89%
民主党
$1,069 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Roger Williams, seeking reelection in Texas's 25th Congressional District, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Dione Sims on November 3. The district, redrawn in mid-2025 and rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, favors Republicans with a partisan lean exceeding R+10 based on recent presidential voting patterns, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% for the GOP amid Williams' history of double-digit victories. Sims' primary win drew attention as the granddaughter of civil rights advocate Opal Lee, but no recent polling or scandals has shifted the race from its baseline incumbency advantage in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$2,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Roger Williams, seeking reelection in Texas's 25th Congressional District, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Dione Sims on November 3. The district, redrawn in mid-2025 and rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, favors Republicans with a partisan lean exceeding R+10 based on recent presidential voting patterns, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% for the GOP amid Williams' history of double-digit victories. Sims' primary win drew attention as the granddaughter of civil rights advocate Opal Lee, but no recent polling or scandals has shifted the race from its baseline incumbency advantage in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Williams, seeking reelection in Texas's 25th Congressional District, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Dione Sims on November 3. The district, redrawn in mid-2025 and rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, favors Republicans with a partisan lean exceeding R+10 based on recent presidential voting patterns, bolstering trader consensus at 88.5% for the GOP amid Williams' history of double-digit victories. Sims' primary win drew attention as the granddaughter of civil rights advocate Opal Lee, but no recent polling or scandals has shifted the race from its baseline incumbency advantage in this safe seat.
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