A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in late April 2026 invalidated Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Republican state legislators to redraw district lines and suspend primaries. The new map clusters the 6th District around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting it from a majority-Black seat held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields into territory more favorable to Republican candidates. With filing deadlines and an open primary now set for fall 2026 followed by a potential December runoff, trader consensus reflects the impact of these map changes on the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns in the Baton Rouge region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,943 Vol.
$57,943 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
76%
民主党
18%
$57,943 Vol.
$57,943 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$31,429 Vol.
76%
民主党
$26,514 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in late April 2026 invalidated Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Republican state legislators to redraw district lines and suspend primaries. The new map clusters the 6th District around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting it from a majority-Black seat held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields into territory more favorable to Republican candidates. With filing deadlines and an open primary now set for fall 2026 followed by a potential December runoff, trader consensus reflects the impact of these map changes on the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns in the Baton Rouge region.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$57,943終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in late April 2026 invalidated Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Republican state legislators to redraw district lines and suspend primaries. The new map clusters the 6th District around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting it from a majority-Black seat held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields into territory more favorable to Republican candidates. With filing deadlines and an open primary now set for fall 2026 followed by a potential December runoff, trader consensus reflects the impact of these map changes on the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns in the Baton Rouge region.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,943終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in late April 2026 invalidated Louisiana’s congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting Republican state legislators to redraw district lines and suspend primaries. The new map clusters the 6th District around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting it from a majority-Black seat held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields into territory more favorable to Republican candidates. With filing deadlines and an open primary now set for fall 2026 followed by a potential December runoff, trader consensus reflects the impact of these map changes on the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns in the Baton Rouge region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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