Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new congressional map for the 6th district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, shifting the seat from a Democratic hold into solidly Republican territory. Incumbent Representative Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection in the revised lines and instead pursue a state senate seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez with substantial cash reserves, entered the November 3 jungle primary, while Democratic candidates remain fragmented. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate factors; a Democratic victory would require an unusually high turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in current polling or fundraising data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$69,262 Vol.
$69,262 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$69,262 Vol.
$69,262 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$39,134 Vol.
93%
民主党
$30,128 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new congressional map for the 6th district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, shifting the seat from a Democratic hold into solidly Republican territory. Incumbent Representative Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection in the revised lines and instead pursue a state senate seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez with substantial cash reserves, entered the November 3 jungle primary, while Democratic candidates remain fragmented. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate factors; a Democratic victory would require an unusually high turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in current polling or fundraising data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$69,262終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new congressional map for the 6th district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, shifting the seat from a Democratic hold into solidly Republican territory. Incumbent Representative Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection in the revised lines and instead pursue a state senate seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez with substantial cash reserves, entered the November 3 jungle primary, while Democratic candidates remain fragmented. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate factors; a Democratic victory would require an unusually high turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in current polling or fundraising data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$69,262終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new congressional map for the 6th district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, shifting the seat from a Democratic hold into solidly Republican territory. Incumbent Representative Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection in the revised lines and instead pursue a state senate seat. Multiple Republican state legislators, including Blake Miguez with substantial cash reserves, entered the November 3 jungle primary, while Democratic candidates remain fragmented. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate factors; a Democratic victory would require an unusually high turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics that have not materialized in current polling or fundraising data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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