Incumbent Republican Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched her party's nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on a 74% implied probability for the GOP in solidly Republican TX-24, a suburban Dallas district little altered by 2025 mid-decade redistricting. She won reelection by 21 points in 2024 amid favorable partisan leanings per Cook Political Report ratings. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware after neither secured a March 3 majority, signaling internal division and weaker positioning at 23% odds ahead of the November 3 general election. No recent polls have emerged, but district fundamentals and incumbency drive the GOP edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$17,431 Vol.
$17,431 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
23%
$17,431 Vol.
$17,431 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,737 Vol.
75%
民主党
$10,694 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched her party's nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on a 74% implied probability for the GOP in solidly Republican TX-24, a suburban Dallas district little altered by 2025 mid-decade redistricting. She won reelection by 21 points in 2024 amid favorable partisan leanings per Cook Political Report ratings. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware after neither secured a March 3 majority, signaling internal division and weaker positioning at 23% odds ahead of the November 3 general election. No recent polls have emerged, but district fundamentals and incumbency drive the GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$17,431終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched her party's nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on a 74% implied probability for the GOP in solidly Republican TX-24, a suburban Dallas district little altered by 2025 mid-decade redistricting. She won reelection by 21 points in 2024 amid favorable partisan leanings per Cook Political Report ratings. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware after neither secured a March 3 majority, signaling internal division and weaker positioning at 23% odds ahead of the November 3 general election. No recent polls have emerged, but district fundamentals and incumbency drive the GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,431終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Beth Van Duyne clinched her party's nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on a 74% implied probability for the GOP in solidly Republican TX-24, a suburban Dallas district little altered by 2025 mid-decade redistricting. She won reelection by 21 points in 2024 amid favorable partisan leanings per Cook Political Report ratings. Democrats face a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge and TJ Ware after neither secured a March 3 majority, signaling internal division and weaker positioning at 23% odds ahead of the November 3 general election. No recent polls have emerged, but district fundamentals and incumbency drive the GOP edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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