Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 86.5% implied probability for Georgia's 11th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Lisa Carlquist, John Cowan, Chris Mora, and Tricia Pridemore—contrasts with a thin Democratic primary of Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, plus independent Natalie Richoz. Qualifying concluded March 6 without high-profile Democratic recruitment, reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this suburban northwest Atlanta exurban stronghold ahead of the May 19 primary. Late scandals or nationalized midterms could shift dynamics, though forecasters see low upset risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
87%
民主党
14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
87%
民主党
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 86.5% implied probability for Georgia's 11th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Lisa Carlquist, John Cowan, Chris Mora, and Tricia Pridemore—contrasts with a thin Democratic primary of Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, plus independent Natalie Richoz. Qualifying concluded March 6 without high-profile Democratic recruitment, reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this suburban northwest Atlanta exurban stronghold ahead of the May 19 primary. Late scandals or nationalized midterms could shift dynamics, though forecasters see low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 86.5% implied probability for Georgia's 11th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Lisa Carlquist, John Cowan, Chris Mora, and Tricia Pridemore—contrasts with a thin Democratic primary of Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, plus independent Natalie Richoz. Qualifying concluded March 6 without high-profile Democratic recruitment, reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this suburban northwest Atlanta exurban stronghold ahead of the May 19 primary. Late scandals or nationalized midterms could shift dynamics, though forecasters see low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 86.5% implied probability for Georgia's 11th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February 2026 retirement announcement opened the race, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Lisa Carlquist, John Cowan, Chris Mora, and Tricia Pridemore—contrasts with a thin Democratic primary of Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, plus independent Natalie Richoz. Qualifying concluded March 6 without high-profile Democratic recruitment, reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this suburban northwest Atlanta exurban stronghold ahead of the May 19 primary. Late scandals or nationalized midterms could shift dynamics, though forecasters see low upset risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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