Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed win in the March Democratic primary, combined with her $1.75 million cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Republican primary runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic hold in the Solid Democratic TX-07 district. Fletcher's consistent general election margins—61% in 2024 and 64% in 2022—reflect the district's strong partisan lean in suburban Houston, where no recent polling challenges her dominance despite the GOP runoff on May 26. While odds imply low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election, scenarios like a major Fletcher scandal, personal health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,085 Vol.
94%
共和党
$1,983 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed win in the March Democratic primary, combined with her $1.75 million cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Republican primary runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic hold in the Solid Democratic TX-07 district. Fletcher's consistent general election margins—61% in 2024 and 64% in 2022—reflect the district's strong partisan lean in suburban Houston, where no recent polling challenges her dominance despite the GOP runoff on May 26. While odds imply low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election, scenarios like a major Fletcher scandal, personal health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$8,068終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed win in the March Democratic primary, combined with her $1.75 million cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Republican primary runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic hold in the Solid Democratic TX-07 district. Fletcher's consistent general election margins—61% in 2024 and 64% in 2022—reflect the district's strong partisan lean in suburban Houston, where no recent polling challenges her dominance despite the GOP runoff on May 26. While odds imply low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election, scenarios like a major Fletcher scandal, personal health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,068終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed win in the March Democratic primary, combined with her $1.75 million cash-on-hand advantage over underfunded Republican primary runoff contenders Alexander Hale and Tina Blum Cohen, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic hold in the Solid Democratic TX-07 district. Fletcher's consistent general election margins—61% in 2024 and 64% in 2022—reflect the district's strong partisan lean in suburban Houston, where no recent polling challenges her dominance despite the GOP runoff on May 26. While odds imply low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election, scenarios like a major Fletcher scandal, personal health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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