Trader consensus in the Maine Democratic Senate primary heavily favors Graham Platner at 89.5% implied probability, driven by a March 26 Emerson College poll showing him leading Gov. Janet Mills 55%-28% among likely primary voters, with 13% undecided. Platner's momentum as a combat veteran and oyster farmer—appealing to working-class voters despite past online controversies resurfaced by Mills—has widened his edge in recent surveys, including strength among older women voters. Mills, the two-term incumbent governor, has escalated attacks highlighting Platner's Reddit history to consolidate establishment support ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Minor candidates like Pingree, Golden, and Jackson show negligible polling, reflecting limited campaign traction. Late shifts remain possible from undecideds or turnout dynamics in this open primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日グレアム・プラトナー 90%
ジャネット・ミルズ 11%
ダン・クレバン <1%
チェリー・ピングリー <1%
$2,117,271 Vol.
$2,117,271 Vol.
グレアム・プラトナー
90%
ジャネット・ミルズ
11%
ダン・クレバン
<1%
チェリー・ピングリー
<1%
ジョーダン・ウッド
<1%
トロイ・ジャクソン
<1%
ジャレッド・ゴールデン
<1%
グレアム・プラトナー 90%
ジャネット・ミルズ 11%
ダン・クレバン <1%
チェリー・ピングリー <1%
$2,117,271 Vol.
$2,117,271 Vol.
グレアム・プラトナー
90%
ジャネット・ミルズ
11%
ダン・クレバン
<1%
チェリー・ピングリー
<1%
ジョーダン・ウッド
<1%
トロイ・ジャクソン
<1%
ジャレッド・ゴールデン
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Maine Democratic Senate primary heavily favors Graham Platner at 89.5% implied probability, driven by a March 26 Emerson College poll showing him leading Gov. Janet Mills 55%-28% among likely primary voters, with 13% undecided. Platner's momentum as a combat veteran and oyster farmer—appealing to working-class voters despite past online controversies resurfaced by Mills—has widened his edge in recent surveys, including strength among older women voters. Mills, the two-term incumbent governor, has escalated attacks highlighting Platner's Reddit history to consolidate establishment support ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Minor candidates like Pingree, Golden, and Jackson show negligible polling, reflecting limited campaign traction. Late shifts remain possible from undecideds or turnout dynamics in this open primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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