Peggy Flanagan holds a clear polling edge over Angie Craig in the August 11 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with a late-July Public Policy Polling survey showing her ahead 46-32 percent among likely voters after earlier narrower leads. The contest highlights competing party visions, as Flanagan emphasizes populist, anti-corporate positions while Craig stresses electability and practical governance in a swing district. Craig has outraised Flanagan and benefited from substantial outside spending, yet endorsements from the DFL and prominent progressives have bolstered Flanagan. With the vote days away and multiple minor candidates on the ballot, traders see elevated uncertainty around the precise margin despite Flanagan’s frontrunner status in recent surveys.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラナガン 5～10％ 26%
フラナガン 5％未満 26%
クレイグ <5％ 14.7%
クレイグ 5〜10％ 11.1%
$31,788 Vol.
$31,788 Vol.
2026/08/11
フラナガン 20％以上
5%
フラナガン 15～20％
11%
フラナガン 10〜15％
9%
フラナガン 5～10％
26%
フラナガン 5％未満
26%
クレイグ <5％
13%
クレイグ 5〜10％
11%
クレイグ 10〜15％
1%
クレイグ15～20％
1%
クレイグ 20％以上
<1%
フラナガン 5～10％ 26%
フラナガン 5％未満 26%
クレイグ <5％ 14.7%
クレイグ 5〜10％ 11.1%
$31,788 Vol.
$31,788 Vol.
2026/08/11
フラナガン 20％以上
$561 Vol.
5%
フラナガン 15～20％
$11,002 Vol.
11%
フラナガン 10〜15％
$7,522 Vol.
9%
フラナガン 5～10％
$3,384 Vol.
26%
フラナガン 5％未満
$5,949 Vol.
26%
クレイグ <5％
$1,015 Vol.
13%
クレイグ 5〜10％
$1,644 Vol.
11%
クレイグ 10〜15％
$193 Vol.
1%
クレイグ15～20％
$274 Vol.
1%
クレイグ 20％以上
$243 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan holds a clear polling edge over Angie Craig in the August 11 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with a late-July Public Policy Polling survey showing her ahead 46-32 percent among likely voters after earlier narrower leads. The contest highlights competing party visions, as Flanagan emphasizes populist, anti-corporate positions while Craig stresses electability and practical governance in a swing district. Craig has outraised Flanagan and benefited from substantial outside spending, yet endorsements from the DFL and prominent progressives have bolstered Flanagan. With the vote days away and multiple minor candidates on the ballot, traders see elevated uncertainty around the precise margin despite Flanagan’s frontrunner status in recent surveys.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$31,788終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan holds a clear polling edge over Angie Craig in the August 11 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with a late-July Public Policy Polling survey showing her ahead 46-32 percent among likely voters after earlier narrower leads. The contest highlights competing party visions, as Flanagan emphasizes populist, anti-corporate positions while Craig stresses electability and practical governance in a swing district. Craig has outraised Flanagan and benefited from substantial outside spending, yet endorsements from the DFL and prominent progressives have bolstered Flanagan. With the vote days away and multiple minor candidates on the ballot, traders see elevated uncertainty around the precise margin despite Flanagan’s frontrunner status in recent surveys.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$31,788終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peggy Flanagan holds a clear polling edge over Angie Craig in the August 11 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith, with a late-July Public Policy Polling survey showing her ahead 46-32 percent among likely voters after earlier narrower leads. The contest highlights competing party visions, as Flanagan emphasizes populist, anti-corporate positions while Craig stresses electability and practical governance in a swing district. Craig has outraised Flanagan and benefited from substantial outside spending, yet endorsements from the DFL and prominent progressives have bolstered Flanagan. With the vote days away and multiple minor candidates on the ballot, traders see elevated uncertainty around the precise margin despite Flanagan’s frontrunner status in recent surveys.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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