Skip to main content
icon for 2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

icon for 2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝

BFP 59%

UBJP 41%

BGC 1.0%

選挙の延期・中止 <1%

Polymarket

$72,821 Vol.

BFP 59%

UBJP 41%

BGC 1.0%

選挙の延期・中止 <1%

Polymarket

$72,821 Vol.

BFP

$13,425 Vol.

59%

UBJP

$44,471 Vol.

41%

BGC

$930 Vol.

1%

選挙の延期・中止

$813 Vol.

1%

C4P

$713 Vol.

1%

LBIAA

$860 Vol.

1%

マハルディカ

$607 Vol.

<1%

RSEU

$607 Vol.

<1%

プログレシボ・バンサモロ党

$616 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUMA

$1,069 Vol.

<1%

DTLO

$630 Vol.

<1%

RSL

$515 Vol.

<1%

ABOT

$643 Vol.

<1%

BAPA

$728 Vol.

<1%

BEST PARTY

$681 Vol.

<1%

ISAMA

$634 Vol.

<1%

MORO AKO

$634 Vol.

<1%

ムシャワラ

$673 Vol.

<1%

PBB

$568 Vol.

<1%

RAAYAT民主党

$609 Vol.

<1%

TPWC

$521 Vol.

<1%

THE ROYALS

$627 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUPA

$600 Vol.

<1%

ISLPI

$645 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of lawmakers and local leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated party that dominated the transition authority, to the newer Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened BFP’s position ahead of the September 14, 2026 vote. Lowered registration thresholds and a reduced electoral threshold have enabled 13 regional parliamentary parties to compete for the 40 proportional-representation seats, fragmenting the field and sustaining tight implied probabilities among leading contenders. BFP’s designation as dominant minority party, combined with unopposed district candidates and accelerating campaign activity, underpins trader consensus favoring it over UBJP. Further high-profile shifts, alliance formations, or security developments in the final weeks could widen the gap or allow other parties to gain ground in the proportional contest.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
音量
$72,821
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of lawmakers and local leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated party that dominated the transition authority, to the newer Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened BFP’s position ahead of the September 14, 2026 vote. Lowered registration thresholds and a reduced electoral threshold have enabled 13 regional parliamentary parties to compete for the 40 proportional-representation seats, fragmenting the field and sustaining tight implied probabilities among leading contenders. BFP’s designation as dominant minority party, combined with unopposed district candidates and accelerating campaign activity, underpins trader consensus favoring it over UBJP. Further high-profile shifts, alliance formations, or security developments in the final weeks could widen the gap or allow other parties to gain ground in the proportional contest.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
音量
$72,821
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」はPolymarket上の24個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「BFP」で59%、次いで「UBJP」が41%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、59¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に59%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」は$72.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」で取引するには、このページに記載されている24個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」の現在のフロントランナーは「BFP」で59%であり、市場がこの結果に59%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「UBJP」で41%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年バンサモロ議会選挙:党優勝」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。