United Russia's dominant 95.5% trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections reflects its entrenched advantages as President Vladimir Putin's ruling party in the parallel voting system—225 proportional representation seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—amid suppressed independent opposition. March polls show ER leading at 29-41% in WCIOM and FOM surveys, down slightly from earlier amid rising prices, but Kremlin propaganda now emphasizes party initiatives like benefits for military participants, coinciding with early-month candidate primaries prioritizing special military operation veterans. Upsets would require major Ukraine war reversals, economic collapse sparking protests, or unprecedented vote invalidations, though historical supermajorities indicate resilience.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 95.5%
新しい人々（NL） 1.3%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP） 1.0%
$893,040 Vol.
$893,040 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
統一ロシア（ER）
96%
新しい人々（NL）
1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
<1%
ロジナ
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 95.5%
新しい人々（NL） 1.3%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） 1.1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP） 1.0%
$893,040 Vol.
$893,040 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
統一ロシア（ER）
$469,728 Vol.
96%
新しい人々（NL）
$34,657 Vol.
1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$77,181 Vol.
1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
$76,335 Vol.
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$31,501 Vol.
1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
$128,790 Vol.
<1%
ロジナ
$74,847 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's dominant 95.5% trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections reflects its entrenched advantages as President Vladimir Putin's ruling party in the parallel voting system—225 proportional representation seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—amid suppressed independent opposition. March polls show ER leading at 29-41% in WCIOM and FOM surveys, down slightly from earlier amid rising prices, but Kremlin propaganda now emphasizes party initiatives like benefits for military participants, coinciding with early-month candidate primaries prioritizing special military operation veterans. Upsets would require major Ukraine war reversals, economic collapse sparking protests, or unprecedented vote invalidations, though historical supermajorities indicate resilience.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$893,040終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's dominant 95.5% trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections reflects its entrenched advantages as President Vladimir Putin's ruling party in the parallel voting system—225 proportional representation seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—amid suppressed independent opposition. March polls show ER leading at 29-41% in WCIOM and FOM surveys, down slightly from earlier amid rising prices, but Kremlin propaganda now emphasizes party initiatives like benefits for military participants, coinciding with early-month candidate primaries prioritizing special military operation veterans. Upsets would require major Ukraine war reversals, economic collapse sparking protests, or unprecedented vote invalidations, though historical supermajorities indicate resilience.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$893,040終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's dominant 95.5% trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections reflects its entrenched advantages as President Vladimir Putin's ruling party in the parallel voting system—225 proportional representation seats above a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—amid suppressed independent opposition. March polls show ER leading at 29-41% in WCIOM and FOM surveys, down slightly from earlier amid rising prices, but Kremlin propaganda now emphasizes party initiatives like benefits for military participants, coinciding with early-month candidate primaries prioritizing special military operation veterans. Upsets would require major Ukraine war reversals, economic collapse sparking protests, or unprecedented vote invalidations, though historical supermajorities indicate resilience.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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