Recent nationwide polls, such as Medián's October survey showing TISZA at 44% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% in list vote preferences, drive trader consensus favoring Péter Magyar's TISZA party (64.5%) as the likely winner of Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election under its mixed proportional representation system. This momentum builds on TISZA's breakthrough 30% in June's European Parliament vote, fueled by anti-government sentiment over persistent inflation, EU fund disputes, and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies, including probes tied to Magyar's public feud. Fidesz-KDNP holds incumbency edges in rural districts and a loyal base, but urban polling gains for TISZA highlight a narrowing path to plurality seats. No snap election signaled; vote set for spring 2026, with coalition talks possible if no clear majority emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日TISZA 65%
フィデス＝KDNP 36%
モメンタム <1%
DK <1%
$40,791,993 Vol.
$40,791,993 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
65%
フィデス＝KDNP
36%
モメンタム
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
我が祖国運動（Mi Hazánk）
<1%
パールベサード
<1%
ヨッビク
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 65%
フィデス＝KDNP 36%
モメンタム <1%
DK <1%
$40,791,993 Vol.
$40,791,993 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$680,585 Vol.
65%
フィデス＝KDNP
$926,881 Vol.
36%
モメンタム
$509,771 Vol.
<1%
DK
$2,087,715 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,321,357 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$0 Vol.
<1%
我が祖国運動（Mi Hazánk）
$404,765 Vol.
<1%
パールベサード
$7,086,484 Vol.
<1%
ヨッビク
$14,774,436 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent nationwide polls, such as Medián's October survey showing TISZA at 44% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% in list vote preferences, drive trader consensus favoring Péter Magyar's TISZA party (64.5%) as the likely winner of Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election under its mixed proportional representation system. This momentum builds on TISZA's breakthrough 30% in June's European Parliament vote, fueled by anti-government sentiment over persistent inflation, EU fund disputes, and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies, including probes tied to Magyar's public feud. Fidesz-KDNP holds incumbency edges in rural districts and a loyal base, but urban polling gains for TISZA highlight a narrowing path to plurality seats. No snap election signaled; vote set for spring 2026, with coalition talks possible if no clear majority emerges.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
音量
$40,791,993終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent nationwide polls, such as Medián's October survey showing TISZA at 44% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% in list vote preferences, drive trader consensus favoring Péter Magyar's TISZA party (64.5%) as the likely winner of Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election under its mixed proportional representation system. This momentum builds on TISZA's breakthrough 30% in June's European Parliament vote, fueled by anti-government sentiment over persistent inflation, EU fund disputes, and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies, including probes tied to Magyar's public feud. Fidesz-KDNP holds incumbency edges in rural districts and a loyal base, but urban polling gains for TISZA highlight a narrowing path to plurality seats. No snap election signaled; vote set for spring 2026, with coalition talks possible if no clear majority emerges.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$40,791,993終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent nationwide polls, such as Medián's October survey showing TISZA at 44% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% in list vote preferences, drive trader consensus favoring Péter Magyar's TISZA party (64.5%) as the likely winner of Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election under its mixed proportional representation system. This momentum builds on TISZA's breakthrough 30% in June's European Parliament vote, fueled by anti-government sentiment over persistent inflation, EU fund disputes, and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies, including probes tied to Magyar's public feud. Fidesz-KDNP holds incumbency edges in rural districts and a loyal base, but urban polling gains for TISZA highlight a narrowing path to plurality seats. No snap election signaled; vote set for spring 2026, with coalition talks possible if no clear majority emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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