Trader consensus favors TISZA at 62.5% to claim victory in Hungary's parliamentary election, driven by recent polls showing Péter Magyar's party leading Fidesz-KDNP amid anti-incumbent sentiment. Magyar, a former government insider, has unified opposition forces following TISZA's strong European Parliament performance in June and scandals eroding Fidesz support, including a pardon controversy tied to Orbán allies and disputes over withheld EU funds. Economic woes like persistent inflation have further weakened the ruling coalition's position. Fidesz retains incumbency and organizational edges in the mixed single-member district and proportional list system, but traders see TISZA's momentum persisting toward 2026 absent major reversals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日TISZA 63%
フィデス=KDNP 38%
モメンタム <1%
DK <1%
$44,101,295 Vol.
$44,101,295 Vol.

TISZA
63%

フィデス=KDNP
38%

モメンタム
<1%

DK
<1%

LMP
<1%

MSZP
<1%

我が祖国運動(Mi Hazánk)
<1%

パールベサード
<1%

ヨッビク
<1%

KDNP
<1%
TISZA 63%
フィデス=KDNP 38%
モメンタム <1%
DK <1%
$44,101,295 Vol.
$44,101,295 Vol.

TISZA
63%

フィデス=KDNP
38%

モメンタム
<1%

DK
<1%

LMP
<1%

MSZP
<1%

我が祖国運動(Mi Hazánk)
<1%

パールベサード
<1%

ヨッビク
<1%

KDNP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors TISZA at 62.5% to claim victory in Hungary's parliamentary election, driven by recent polls showing Péter Magyar's party leading Fidesz-KDNP amid anti-incumbent sentiment. Magyar, a former government insider, has unified opposition forces following TISZA's strong European Parliament performance in June and scandals eroding Fidesz support, including a pardon controversy tied to Orbán allies and disputes over withheld EU funds. Economic woes like persistent inflation have further weakened the ruling coalition's position. Fidesz retains incumbency and organizational edges in the mixed single-member district and proportional list system, but traders see TISZA's momentum persisting toward 2026 absent major reversals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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