Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election project Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party securing 136 seats in the 199-member National Assembly, enough for a two-thirds supermajority, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty on TISZA as the winner with the most seats. Incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz conceded defeat after 16 years in power, amid high turnout exceeding 70% and TISZA's sustained double-digit polling lead over recent months fueled by anti-corruption appeals and economic discontent. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains pending, the decisive margin leaves little room for realistic challenges like recounts or legal disputes to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日TISZA 100.0%
DK <1%
LMP <1%
MSZP <1%
$63,742,491 Vol.
$63,742,491 Vol.

DK
いいえ

TISZA
はい

LMP
いいえ

MSZP
いいえ

モメンタム
いいえ

我が祖国運動(Mi Hazánk)
いいえ

フィデス=KDNP
いいえ

パールベサード
いいえ

ヨッビク
いいえ

KDNP
いいえ
TISZA 100.0%
DK <1%
LMP <1%
MSZP <1%
$63,742,491 Vol.
$63,742,491 Vol.

DK
いいえ

TISZA
はい

LMP
いいえ

MSZP
いいえ

モメンタム
いいえ

我が祖国運動(Mi Hazánk)
いいえ

フィデス=KDNP
いいえ

パールベサード
いいえ

ヨッビク
いいえ

KDNP
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election project Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party securing 136 seats in the 199-member National Assembly, enough for a two-thirds supermajority, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty on TISZA as the winner with the most seats. Incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz conceded defeat after 16 years in power, amid high turnout exceeding 70% and TISZA's sustained double-digit polling lead over recent months fueled by anti-corruption appeals and economic discontent. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains pending, the decisive margin leaves little room for realistic challenges like recounts or legal disputes to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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