AfD holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt state election due to its sustained lead in recent polling, reaching record levels near 41 percent while the incumbent CDU trails at around 25 percent. This reflects broader voter shifts in eastern Germany, including dissatisfaction with the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition and the party’s selection of Sven Schulze as its lead candidate after Reiner Haseloff’s departure. Mainstream parties’ parliamentary rule changes aimed at limiting AfD influence have not reversed the trend. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sharp late-campaign swings in turnout among smaller parties like the Left or BSW, unexpected scandals affecting any contender, or shifts in federal political dynamics that reshape state-level priorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 94%
CDU 5.5%
BSW <1%
左翼党 <1%
$704,331 Vol.
$704,331 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

左翼党
<1%

FDP
<1%

緑の党
<1%

SPD
<1%
AfD 94%
CDU 5.5%
BSW <1%
左翼党 <1%
$704,331 Vol.
$704,331 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

左翼党
<1%

FDP
<1%

緑の党
<1%

SPD
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt state election due to its sustained lead in recent polling, reaching record levels near 41 percent while the incumbent CDU trails at around 25 percent. This reflects broader voter shifts in eastern Germany, including dissatisfaction with the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition and the party’s selection of Sven Schulze as its lead candidate after Reiner Haseloff’s departure. Mainstream parties’ parliamentary rule changes aimed at limiting AfD influence have not reversed the trend. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sharp late-campaign swings in turnout among smaller parties like the Left or BSW, unexpected scandals affecting any contender, or shifts in federal political dynamics that reshape state-level priorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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