Polls show Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead ahead of the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due by autumn 2026, driving trader consensus to price AfD as the near-certain winner with 89.5% implied probability for the largest vote share under the state's proportional representation system. AfD's advantage widened following its strong pluralities in neighboring Saxony (30.6%) and Thuringia (32.8%) state elections on September 1, fueled by voter frustration with the incumbent CDU-SPD-Greens coalition over immigration, economic stagnation, and energy policy. CDU trails at around a quarter support in recent surveys, while BSW, SPD, The Left, FDP, and Greens lag in single digits; CDU's firewall against AfD coalitions underscores focus on plurality victory, with no major catalysts scheduled soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日AfD 90%
CDU 8.8%
SPD <1%
左翼党 <1%
$502,809 Vol.
$502,809 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
90%
CDU
9%
SPD
1%
左翼党
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
緑の党
<1%
AfD 90%
CDU 8.8%
SPD <1%
左翼党 <1%
$502,809 Vol.
$502,809 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
AfD
$4,801 Vol.
90%
CDU
$461,754 Vol.
9%
SPD
$23,692 Vol.
1%
左翼党
$1,861 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$5,862 Vol.
<1%
緑の党
$2,499 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polls show Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead ahead of the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due by autumn 2026, driving trader consensus to price AfD as the near-certain winner with 89.5% implied probability for the largest vote share under the state's proportional representation system. AfD's advantage widened following its strong pluralities in neighboring Saxony (30.6%) and Thuringia (32.8%) state elections on September 1, fueled by voter frustration with the incumbent CDU-SPD-Greens coalition over immigration, economic stagnation, and energy policy. CDU trails at around a quarter support in recent surveys, while BSW, SPD, The Left, FDP, and Greens lag in single digits; CDU's firewall against AfD coalitions underscores focus on plurality victory, with no major catalysts scheduled soon.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$502,809終了日
Sep 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polls show Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead ahead of the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due by autumn 2026, driving trader consensus to price AfD as the near-certain winner with 89.5% implied probability for the largest vote share under the state's proportional representation system. AfD's advantage widened following its strong pluralities in neighboring Saxony (30.6%) and Thuringia (32.8%) state elections on September 1, fueled by voter frustration with the incumbent CDU-SPD-Greens coalition over immigration, economic stagnation, and energy policy. CDU trails at around a quarter support in recent surveys, while BSW, SPD, The Left, FDP, and Greens lag in single digits; CDU's firewall against AfD coalitions underscores focus on plurality victory, with no major catalysts scheduled soon.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$502,809終了日
Sep 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls show Alternative for Germany (AfD) maintaining a commanding lead ahead of the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due by autumn 2026, driving trader consensus to price AfD as the near-certain winner with 89.5% implied probability for the largest vote share under the state's proportional representation system. AfD's advantage widened following its strong pluralities in neighboring Saxony (30.6%) and Thuringia (32.8%) state elections on September 1, fueled by voter frustration with the incumbent CDU-SPD-Greens coalition over immigration, economic stagnation, and energy policy. CDU trails at around a quarter support in recent surveys, while BSW, SPD, The Left, FDP, and Greens lag in single digits; CDU's firewall against AfD coalitions underscores focus on plurality victory, with no major catalysts scheduled soon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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