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次回のフランス大統領選挙

Market icon

次回のフランス大統領選挙

ジョルダン・バルデラ 30%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 15%

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 11%

ジャン=リュック・メランション 10%

Polymarket

$9,977,087 Vol.

ジョルダン・バルデラ 30%

エドゥアール・フィリップ 15%

マリーヌ・ル・ペン 11%

ジャン=リュック・メランション 10%

Polymarket

$9,977,087 Vol.

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ジョルダン・バルデラ

$376,862 Vol.

30%

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エドゥアール・フィリップ

$271,324 Vol.

15%

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マリーヌ・ル・ペン

$217,545 Vol.

11%

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ジャン=リュック・メランション

$160,488 Vol.

10%

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ブルーノ・ルテイエロー

$632,044 Vol.

6%

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ドミニク・ド・ヴィルパン

$543,740 Vol.

6%

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サラ・クナフォ

$636,386 Vol.

3%

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ガブリエル・アタル

$558,444 Vol.

3%

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ダヴィッド・リスナール

$484,307 Vol.

2%

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ジャン・カステックス

$217,243 Vol.

2%

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セバスチャン・ルコルニュ

$412,724 Vol.

2%

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ラファエル・グリュックスマン

$183,045 Vol.

2%

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フランソワ・オランド

$226,768 Vol.

2%

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ファビアン・ルッセル

$361,921 Vol.

1%

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ジェラルド・ダルマナン

$186,691 Vol.

1%

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フランソワ・リュファン

$131,642 Vol.

1%

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フアン・ブランコ

$0 Vol.

1%

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エリック・ゼムール

$180,666 Vol.

1%

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ベルナール・カズヌーブ

$130,210 Vol.

1%

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ローラン・ヴォキエ

$152,305 Vol.

<1%

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マニュエル・ボンパール

$461,878 Vol.

<1%

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マリーヌ・トンドリエ

$120,284 Vol.

<1%

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マチルド・パノ

$369,064 Vol.

<1%

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グザヴィエ・ベルトラン

$189,760 Vol.

<1%

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フランソワ・アスリノー

$232,371 Vol.

<1%

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ニコラ・デュポン=エニャン

$380,964 Vol.

<1%

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ヴァレリー・ペクレス

$201,803 Vol.

<1%

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エリザベット・ボルヌ

$134,548 Vol.

<1%

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カロル・デルガ

$157,901 Vol.

<1%

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オリヴィエ・フォール

$142,291 Vol.

<1%

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セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル

$295,016 Vol.

<1%

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クレマンティーヌ・オータン

$451,098 Vol.

<1%

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ミシェル・バルニエ

$278,169 Vol.

<1%

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フランソワ・バイルー

$162,280 Vol.

<1%

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ヤエル・ブロン=ピヴェ

$230,434 Vol.

<1%

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クレマンス・ゲッテ

$104,871 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$9,977,087
終了日
Apr 30, 2027
マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"次回のフランス大統領選挙" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ジョルダン・バルデラ" at 30%, followed by "エドゥアール・フィリップ" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "次回のフランス大統領選挙" has generated $10 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "次回のフランス大統領選挙," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "次回のフランス大統領選挙" is "ジョルダン・バルデラ" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "エドゥアール・フィリップ" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "次回のフランス大統領選挙" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.