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icon for LA -05共和党予備選
政治·ルイジアナ州予備選挙

LA -05共和党予備選

icon for LA -05共和党予備選
政治·ルイジアナ州予備選挙

LA -05共和党予備選

ブレイク・ミゲズ 12%

ミスティ・コーデル 4.0%

リック・エドモンズ 2.0%

オースティン・マギー 1.9%

Polymarket

$42,460 Vol.

ブレイク・ミゲズ 12%

ミスティ・コーデル 4.0%

リック・エドモンズ 2.0%

オースティン・マギー 1.9%

Polymarket

$42,460 Vol.

ブレイク・ミゲズ

$21,522 Vol.

12%

ミスティ・コーデル

$937 Vol.

4%

リック・エドモンズ

$1,236 Vol.

2%

オースティン・マギー

$1,237 Vol.

2%

サミュエル・ワイアット

$5,912 Vol.

1%

マイケル・エコールズ

$10,524 Vol.

13%

マイケル・メブルーア

$1,092 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Louisiana's 5th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid, has drawn seven Republican candidates into a closed primary now rescheduled for November 3 following a Supreme Court ruling that altered the district map. Trader consensus currently favors Michael Mebruer at 44 percent, ahead of state Rep. Michael Echols and state Sen. Blake Miguez. Recent candidate forums and an April poll showed the state legislators holding early name recognition advantages in the rural, R+18 district, while lesser-known entrants like Mebruer and Misti Cordell competed on issues such as immigration, rural healthcare, and federal spending. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these dynamics along with historical patterns of Louisiana Republican primaries favoring established legislators absent major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$42,460
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Louisiana's 5th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid, has drawn seven Republican candidates into a closed primary now rescheduled for November 3 following a Supreme Court ruling that altered the district map. Trader consensus currently favors Michael Mebruer at 44 percent, ahead of state Rep. Michael Echols and state Sen. Blake Miguez. Recent candidate forums and an April poll showed the state legislators holding early name recognition advantages in the rural, R+18 district, while lesser-known entrants like Mebruer and Misti Cordell competed on issues such as immigration, rural healthcare, and federal spending. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these dynamics along with historical patterns of Louisiana Republican primaries favoring established legislators absent major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$42,460
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「LA -05共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マイケル・メブルーア」で44%、次いで「マイケル・エコールズ」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「LA -05共和党予備選」は$42.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「LA -05共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「LA -05共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「マイケル・メブルーア」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マイケル・エコールズ」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「LA -05共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。