Michael Mebruer leads the LA-05 Republican primary market at 44% amid a crowded field of seven candidates for the open seat vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid. The race features state Sens. Blake Miguez (Trump-endorsed) and Michael Echols, state Sen. Rick Edmonds, Board of Regents Chair Misti Cordell, and lesser-known contenders Austin Magee and Samuel Wyatt. An early April poll showed Miguez and Echols competitive but with over 40% undecided, while subsequent redistricting litigation postponed the original May 16 closed primary to November 3, extending the campaign window. Traders appear to price in Mebruer's positioning as the primary evolves under the revised timeline and map.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日LA -05共和党予備選
LA -05共和党予備選
ブレイク・ミゲズ 12%
ミスティ・コーデル 4.0%
リック・エドモンズ 2.0%
オースティン・マギー 1.9%
$42,460 Vol.
$42,460 Vol.
2026/05/16
ブレイク・ミゲズ
12%
ミスティ・コーデル
4%
リック・エドモンズ
2%
オースティン・マギー
2%
サミュエル・ワイアット
1%
マイケル・エコールズ
13%
マイケル・メブルーア
44%
ブレイク・ミゲズ 12%
ミスティ・コーデル 4.0%
リック・エドモンズ 2.0%
オースティン・マギー 1.9%
$42,460 Vol.
$42,460 Vol.
2026/05/16
ブレイク・ミゲズ
$21,522 Vol.
12%
ミスティ・コーデル
$937 Vol.
4%
リック・エドモンズ
$1,236 Vol.
2%
オースティン・マギー
$1,237 Vol.
2%
サミュエル・ワイアット
$5,912 Vol.
1%
マイケル・エコールズ
$10,524 Vol.
13%
マイケル・メブルーア
$1,092 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Mebruer leads the LA-05 Republican primary market at 44% amid a crowded field of seven candidates for the open seat vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid. The race features state Sens. Blake Miguez (Trump-endorsed) and Michael Echols, state Sen. Rick Edmonds, Board of Regents Chair Misti Cordell, and lesser-known contenders Austin Magee and Samuel Wyatt. An early April poll showed Miguez and Echols competitive but with over 40% undecided, while subsequent redistricting litigation postponed the original May 16 closed primary to November 3, extending the campaign window. Traders appear to price in Mebruer's positioning as the primary evolves under the revised timeline and map.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
音量
$42,460終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Mebruer leads the LA-05 Republican primary market at 44% amid a crowded field of seven candidates for the open seat vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid. The race features state Sens. Blake Miguez (Trump-endorsed) and Michael Echols, state Sen. Rick Edmonds, Board of Regents Chair Misti Cordell, and lesser-known contenders Austin Magee and Samuel Wyatt. An early April poll showed Miguez and Echols competitive but with over 40% undecided, while subsequent redistricting litigation postponed the original May 16 closed primary to November 3, extending the campaign window. Traders appear to price in Mebruer's positioning as the primary evolves under the revised timeline and map.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$42,460終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael Mebruer leads the LA-05 Republican primary market at 44% amid a crowded field of seven candidates for the open seat vacated by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate bid. The race features state Sens. Blake Miguez (Trump-endorsed) and Michael Echols, state Sen. Rick Edmonds, Board of Regents Chair Misti Cordell, and lesser-known contenders Austin Magee and Samuel Wyatt. An early April poll showed Miguez and Echols competitive but with over 40% undecided, while subsequent redistricting litigation postponed the original May 16 closed primary to November 3, extending the campaign window. Traders appear to price in Mebruer's positioning as the primary evolves under the revised timeline and map.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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