Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson as Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting Social Democrats' consistent lead as the largest party in recent polls at 31-33%. Mid-March surveys from Demoskop, Ipsos, and Novus show a tight race between the Red-Green bloc (45-46%) and incumbent Ulf Kristersson's Tidö agreement parties (51-54%), with varying seat projections that slightly favor Tidö continuity in some cases. Over the past month, minor Red-Green gains amid stable trends have bolstered Andersson's position as opposition leader, while smaller parties like Jimmie Åkesson's Sweden Democrats trail far behind. Coalition negotiations post-election will prove decisive in the proportional representation system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日マグダレナ・アンデション 59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 34%
ジミー・オーケソン 5.3%
エバ・ブッシュ 2.2%
$1,231,127 Vol.
$1,231,127 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
34%
ジミー・オーケソン
5%
エバ・ブッシュ
2%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
マグダレナ・アンデション 59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 34%
ジミー・オーケソン 5.3%
エバ・ブッシュ 2.2%
$1,231,127 Vol.
$1,231,127 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
34%
ジミー・オーケソン
5%
エバ・ブッシュ
2%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson as Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting Social Democrats' consistent lead as the largest party in recent polls at 31-33%. Mid-March surveys from Demoskop, Ipsos, and Novus show a tight race between the Red-Green bloc (45-46%) and incumbent Ulf Kristersson's Tidö agreement parties (51-54%), with varying seat projections that slightly favor Tidö continuity in some cases. Over the past month, minor Red-Green gains amid stable trends have bolstered Andersson's position as opposition leader, while smaller parties like Jimmie Åkesson's Sweden Democrats trail far behind. Coalition negotiations post-election will prove decisive in the proportional representation system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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