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選挙·ブルガリア

# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

Market icon
選挙·ブルガリア

# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

50-54 37%

<50 37%

55-59 18%

65-69 18%

Polymarket
NEW

50-54 37%

<50 37%

55-59 18%

65-69 18%

Polymarket
NEW

<50

$20 Vol.

37%

50-54

$20 Vol.

37%

55-59

$20 Vol.

18%

60-64

$20 Vol.

41%

65-69

$20 Vol.

18%

70+

$27 Vol.

14%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research and Market Links (mid-to-late March 2026) project GERB-SDS securing 54-66 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting its steady 19-22% vote share amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads at 24-29%, followed by PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-10%). This trader consensus—favoring 60-64 seats at 41% implied probability, closely trailed by 50-54 (37%) and under 50 (35.5%)—stems from the snap April 19 election's volatility after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations, with undecided voters (10-15%) and expected higher turnout keeping outcomes tight. Late campaign momentum, final surveys, or turnout shifts in key demographics could widen separations, complicating post-election coalition negotiations.

Recent polls from Alpha Research and Market Links (mid-to-late March 2026) project GERB-SDS securing 54-66 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting its steady 19-22% vote share amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads at 24-29%, followed by PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-10%). This trader consensus—favoring 60-64 seats at 41% implied probability, closely trailed by 50-54 (37%) and under 50 (35.5%)—stems from the snap April 19 election's volatility after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations, with undecided voters (10-15%) and expected higher turnout keeping outcomes tight. Late campaign momentum, final surveys, or turnout shifts in key demographics could widen separations, complicating post-election coalition negotiations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research and Market Links (mid-to-late March 2026) project GERB-SDS securing 54-66 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting its steady 19-22% vote share amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads at 24-29%, followed by PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-10%). This trader consensus—favoring 60-64 seats at 41% implied probability, closely trailed by 50-54 (37%) and under 50 (35.5%)—stems from the snap April 19 election's volatility after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations, with undecided voters (10-15%) and expected higher turnout keeping outcomes tight. Late campaign momentum, final surveys, or turnout shifts in key demographics could widen separations, complicating post-election coalition negotiations.

Recent polls from Alpha Research and Market Links (mid-to-late March 2026) project GERB-SDS securing 54-66 seats in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting its steady 19-22% vote share amid a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads at 24-29%, followed by PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-10%). This trader consensus—favoring 60-64 seats at 41% implied probability, closely trailed by 50-54 (37%) and under 50 (35.5%)—stems from the snap April 19 election's volatility after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations, with undecided voters (10-15%) and expected higher turnout keeping outcomes tight. Late campaign momentum, final surveys, or turnout shifts in key demographics could widen separations, complicating post-election coalition negotiations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「60-64」で41%、次いで「<50」が37%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?」の現在のフロントランナーは「60-64」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<50」で37%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。