State Sen. Greg Hull holds a slim 49% trader consensus edge over former House Minority Leader Duke Rodriguez at 42.5% in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting Hull's stronger legislative incumbency and fundraising reports from recent quarterly filings that underscore his organization in conservative districts. The tight race persists amid scant recent polling—no major surveys since mid-2024—and the extended runway to the June 2026 primary, where Rodriguez's military background and business ties maintain competitiveness among the GOP base seeking a viable challenger to Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. Separation could emerge from national endorsements like a Trump nod, party convention dynamics, early voter data from rural strongholds, or economic shifts impacting border security and energy issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日グレッグ・ハル 49%
デューク・ロドリゲス 43%
スティーブ・ラニアー 4.3%
ジュディス・ナカムラ 1.4%
$364,767 Vol.
$364,767 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
グレッグ・ハル
49%
デューク・ロドリゲス
43%
スティーブ・ラニアー
4%
ジュディス・ナカムラ
1%
スサナ・マルティネス
1%
ブライアン・シレッセン
1%
ベリンダ・ロバートソン
1%
マーク・マーフィー
<1%
ジョン・サンチェス
<1%
グレッグ・ハル 49%
デューク・ロドリゲス 43%
スティーブ・ラニアー 4.3%
ジュディス・ナカムラ 1.4%
$364,767 Vol.
$364,767 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
グレッグ・ハル
$61,484 Vol.
49%
デューク・ロドリゲス
$0 Vol.
43%
スティーブ・ラニアー
$299,623 Vol.
4%
ジュディス・ナカムラ
$0 Vol.
1%
スサナ・マルティネス
$0 Vol.
1%
ブライアン・シレッセン
$1,764 Vol.
1%
ベリンダ・ロバートソン
$0 Vol.
1%
マーク・マーフィー
$1,896 Vol.
<1%
ジョン・サンチェス
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
音量
$364,767終了日
Jun 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$364,767終了日
Jun 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Greg Hull holds a slim 49% trader consensus edge over former House Minority Leader Duke Rodriguez at 42.5% in the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting Hull's stronger legislative incumbency and fundraising reports from recent quarterly filings that underscore his organization in conservative districts. The tight race persists amid scant recent polling—no major surveys since mid-2024—and the extended runway to the June 2026 primary, where Rodriguez's military background and business ties maintain competitiveness among the GOP base seeking a viable challenger to Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham. Separation could emerge from national endorsements like a Trump nod, party convention dynamics, early voter data from rural strongholds, or economic shifts impacting border security and energy issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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