President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address on April 1, 2026, defending U.S. progress in the ongoing war with Iran—now in its second month since major strikes began on February 28—underscores his firm grip on the executive branch, bolstering trader consensus at 84.5% against him leaving office before 2027 via resignation, impeachment and conviction, 25th Amendment invocation, or other means. Democratic-led House impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without Senate traction under Republican majorities, while calls for cabinet action involving Vice President JD Vance lack momentum. No verified health issues or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though 2026 midterms loom as a potential congressional flip risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$5,639,850 Vol.
$5,639,850 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$5,639,850 Vol.
$5,639,850 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address on April 1, 2026, defending U.S. progress in the ongoing war with Iran—now in its second month since major strikes began on February 28—underscores his firm grip on the executive branch, bolstering trader consensus at 84.5% against him leaving office before 2027 via resignation, impeachment and conviction, 25th Amendment invocation, or other means. Democratic-led House impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without Senate traction under Republican majorities, while calls for cabinet action involving Vice President JD Vance lack momentum. No verified health issues or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though 2026 midterms loom as a potential congressional flip risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
音量
$5,639,850終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address on April 1, 2026, defending U.S. progress in the ongoing war with Iran—now in its second month since major strikes began on February 28—underscores his firm grip on the executive branch, bolstering trader consensus at 84.5% against him leaving office before 2027 via resignation, impeachment and conviction, 25th Amendment invocation, or other means. Democratic-led House impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without Senate traction under Republican majorities, while calls for cabinet action involving Vice President JD Vance lack momentum. No verified health issues or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though 2026 midterms loom as a potential congressional flip risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$5,639,850終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address on April 1, 2026, defending U.S. progress in the ongoing war with Iran—now in its second month since major strikes began on February 28—underscores his firm grip on the executive branch, bolstering trader consensus at 84.5% against him leaving office before 2027 via resignation, impeachment and conviction, 25th Amendment invocation, or other means. Democratic-led House impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without Senate traction under Republican majorities, while calls for cabinet action involving Vice President JD Vance lack momentum. No verified health issues or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though 2026 midterms loom as a potential congressional flip risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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