Despite recent Democratic lawmakers' calls for President Trump's impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his Iran ultimatum and ceasefire announcement, Polymarket traders maintain an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for his early exit before 2027, reflecting Republican majorities in the House and Senate that render such efforts unlikely. Articles of impeachment introduced by Democrats, including H.Res.939, face low prospects amid GOP opposition, echoing Trump's two prior acquittals. Ongoing lawsuits challenge administration policies like immigration executive orders but pose no direct threat to his tenure, with no verified reports of resignation intent, health concerns, or cabinet action under the 25th Amendment to alter trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$6,885,812 Vol.
$6,885,812 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$6,885,812 Vol.
$6,885,812 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite recent Democratic lawmakers' calls for President Trump's impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his Iran ultimatum and ceasefire announcement, Polymarket traders maintain an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for his early exit before 2027, reflecting Republican majorities in the House and Senate that render such efforts unlikely. Articles of impeachment introduced by Democrats, including H.Res.939, face low prospects amid GOP opposition, echoing Trump's two prior acquittals. Ongoing lawsuits challenge administration policies like immigration executive orders but pose no direct threat to his tenure, with no verified reports of resignation intent, health concerns, or cabinet action under the 25th Amendment to alter trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
音量
$6,885,812終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite recent Democratic lawmakers' calls for President Trump's impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his Iran ultimatum and ceasefire announcement, Polymarket traders maintain an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for his early exit before 2027, reflecting Republican majorities in the House and Senate that render such efforts unlikely. Articles of impeachment introduced by Democrats, including H.Res.939, face low prospects amid GOP opposition, echoing Trump's two prior acquittals. Ongoing lawsuits challenge administration policies like immigration executive orders but pose no direct threat to his tenure, with no verified reports of resignation intent, health concerns, or cabinet action under the 25th Amendment to alter trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$6,885,812終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite recent Democratic lawmakers' calls for President Trump's impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his Iran ultimatum and ceasefire announcement, Polymarket traders maintain an 83.5% implied probability on "No" for his early exit before 2027, reflecting Republican majorities in the House and Senate that render such efforts unlikely. Articles of impeachment introduced by Democrats, including H.Res.939, face low prospects amid GOP opposition, echoing Trump's two prior acquittals. Ongoing lawsuits challenge administration policies like immigration executive orders but pose no direct threat to his tenure, with no verified reports of resignation intent, health concerns, or cabinet action under the 25th Amendment to alter trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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