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Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

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Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

>5,000 97.0%

3,500-4,000 3.0%

3,000-3,500 <1%

4,000-4,500 <1%

Polymarket

$1,804 Vol.

>5,000 97.0%

3,500-4,000 3.0%

3,000-3,500 <1%

4,000-4,500 <1%

Polymarket

$1,804 Vol.

<2,000

$397 Vol.

<1%

2,000-2,500

$611 Vol.

<1%

2,500-3,000

$163 Vol.

<1%

3,000-3,500

$143 Vol.

1%

3,500-4,000

$170 Vol.

3%

4,000-4,500

$143 Vol.

1%

4,500-5,000

$73 Vol.

1%

>5,000

$106 Vol.

97%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware tracking data reports 5,982 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelled by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), alongside runway construction delays at San Francisco (SFO). This real-time evidence has solidified trader consensus behind over 5,000 delays at 97%, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing aligns with observed air traffic disruptions exceeding typical daily averages. While final Bureau of Transportation Statistics figures could prompt minor adjustments, a commanding position persists absent significant data revisions, narrower definitional interpretations, or uncounted recoveries in late-reporting flights. FAA ground delays and ongoing weather monitoring remain key variables through resolution.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$1,804
終了日
2026/04/01
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware tracking data reports 5,982 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelled by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), alongside runway construction delays at San Francisco (SFO). This real-time evidence has solidified trader consensus behind over 5,000 delays at 97%, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing aligns with observed air traffic disruptions exceeding typical daily averages. While final Bureau of Transportation Statistics figures could prompt minor adjustments, a commanding position persists absent significant data revisions, narrower definitional interpretations, or uncounted recoveries in late-reporting flights. FAA ground delays and ongoing weather monitoring remain key variables through resolution.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$1,804
終了日
2026/04/01
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「>5,000」で97%、次いで「3,500-4,000」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 1, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?」の現在のフロントランナーは「>5,000」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3,500-4,000」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。