Preliminary FlightAware tracking data reports 5,982 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelled by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), alongside runway construction delays at San Francisco (SFO). This real-time evidence has solidified trader consensus behind over 5,000 delays at 97%, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing aligns with observed air traffic disruptions exceeding typical daily averages. While final Bureau of Transportation Statistics figures could prompt minor adjustments, a commanding position persists absent significant data revisions, narrower definitional interpretations, or uncounted recoveries in late-reporting flights. FAA ground delays and ongoing weather monitoring remain key variables through resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日>5,000 97.0%
3,500-4,000 3.0%
3,000-3,500 <1%
4,000-4,500 <1%
$1,804 Vol.
$1,804 Vol.
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
1%
3,500-4,000
3%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
97%
>5,000 97.0%
3,500-4,000 3.0%
3,000-3,500 <1%
4,000-4,500 <1%
$1,804 Vol.
$1,804 Vol.
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
1%
3,500-4,000
3%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
97%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Preliminary FlightAware tracking data reports 5,982 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelled by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), alongside runway construction delays at San Francisco (SFO). This real-time evidence has solidified trader consensus behind over 5,000 delays at 97%, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing aligns with observed air traffic disruptions exceeding typical daily averages. While final Bureau of Transportation Statistics figures could prompt minor adjustments, a commanding position persists absent significant data revisions, narrower definitional interpretations, or uncounted recoveries in late-reporting flights. FAA ground delays and ongoing weather monitoring remain key variables through resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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