Market icon
政治·ガバナーのシャットダウン

DHSのシャットダウンはどのくらい続きますか？

Market icon
政治·ガバナーのシャットダウン

DHSのシャットダウンはどのくらい続きますか？

3月 14

3月 14

Polymarket

$1,168,443 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,168,443 Vol.

48日以上

$40,145 Vol.

100%

52日以上

$18,929 Vol.

97%

60日以上

$245,762 Vol.

86%

70日以上

$5,772 Vol.

50%

80日以上

$7,500 Vol.

28%

90日以上

$9,779 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding, has surpassed 45 days to become the longest in U.S. history, with trader consensus on Polymarket pricing 100% probability for 48+ days and 83% for 60+ days reflecting stalled negotiations. House Republicans passed a 60-day continuing resolution last week to fully fund DHS including deportations and border security operations, but it faces Senate Democratic opposition favoring narrower appropriations excluding those elements; the Senate is now on a two-week recess. President Trump's March 27 executive order directing TSA paychecks from March 30 has mitigated airport delays, reducing urgency, while ICE and CBP continue limited operations under prior funding. Traders await post-recess votes or compromise amid rising public pressure from travel disruptions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,168,443
終了日
2026/03/14
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding, has surpassed 45 days to become the longest in U.S. history, with trader consensus on Polymarket pricing 100% probability for 48+ days and 83% for 60+ days reflecting stalled negotiations. House Republicans passed a 60-day continuing resolution last week to fully fund DHS including deportations and border security operations, but it faces Senate Democratic opposition favoring narrower appropriations excluding those elements; the Senate is now on a two-week recess. President Trump's March 27 executive order directing TSA paychecks from March 30 has mitigated airport delays, reducing urgency, while ICE and CBP continue limited operations under prior funding. Traders await post-recess votes or compromise amid rising public pressure from travel disruptions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,168,443
終了日
2026/03/14
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「DHSのシャットダウンはどのくらい続きますか？」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「48日以上」で100%、次いで「3日以上」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「DHSのシャットダウンはどのくらい続きますか？」は$1.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 15, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「DHSのシャットダウンはどのくらい続きますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「DHSのシャットダウンはどのくらい続きますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「48日以上」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3日以上」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「DHSのシャットダウンはどのくらい続きますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。