Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日18-18.5m 43%
16.5-17m 42%
17.5-18m 42%
<16.5m 41%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
<16.5m
41%
16.5-17m
42%
17-17.5m
41%
17.5-18m
42%
18-18.5m
43%
>18.5m
41%
18-18.5m 43%
16.5-17m 42%
17.5-18m 42%
<16.5m 41%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
<16.5m
$0 Vol.
41%
16.5-17m
$0 Vol.
42%
17-17.5m
$0 Vol.
41%
17.5-18m
$0 Vol.
42%
18-18.5m
$0 Vol.
43%
>18.5m
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 30, 2026 and April 5, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 30, 2026 and April 5, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 30, 2026 and April 5, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 30, 2026 and April 5, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 30, 2026 to April 5, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on TSA checkpoint traveler screenings for March 30–April 5 remains tightly clustered around 17–18.5 million, reflecting record spring break demand projections of 171 million passengers through April offset by severe operational strains from a partial DHS shutdown. Recent daily volumes peaked at 2.87 million on March 22 before dipping to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40–55% TSA officer callouts, lane closures, and multi-hour wait times, yielding weekly totals near 17 million for March 16–26. Easter Sunday on April 5 could drive a late surge via family reunions and holiday getaways, while a funding resolution for DHS—following new Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 confirmation—or favorable weather might boost higher bins; prolonged disruptions or storms could favor lower outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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