Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？

Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

260〜279 12%

280〜299 12%

300〜319 12%

240〜259 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$35,442 Vol.

260〜279 12%

280〜299 12%

300〜319 12%

240〜259 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$35,442 Vol.

20未満

$2,832 Vol.

<1%

20～39

$12,588 Vol.

<1%

40〜59

$7,525 Vol.

<1%

60～79

$527 Vol.

<1%

80〜99

$639 Vol.

<1%

100～119

$1,418 Vol.

<1%

120〜139

$2,718 Vol.

<1%

140〜159

$203 Vol.

2%

160〜179

$88 Vol.

4%

180～199

$98 Vol.

4%

200～219

$105 Vol.

7%

220〜239

$219 Vol.

8%

240〜259

$258 Vol.

11%

260〜279

$276 Vol.

12%

280〜299

$332 Vol.

12%

300〜319

$128 Vol.

12%

320〜339

$186 Vol.

11%

340〜359

$104 Vol.

9%

360～379

$96 Vol.

7%

380〜399

$129 Vol.

9%

400〜419

$88 Vol.

5%

420〜439

$88 Vol.

6%

440～459

$288 Vol.

3%

460～479

$288 Vol.

1%

480〜499

$288 Vol.

3%

500〜519

$293 Vol.

1%

520～539

$293 Vol.

1%

540～559

$694 Vol.

1%

560～579

$1,283 Vol.

<1%

580以上

$1,368 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, reflecting his trailing average of roughly 34 posts per day per XTracker data, pacing toward 285 weekly amid historical volatility. Recent slowdown—only 10 posts March 26-28—has tempered upside bets, evening odds across buckets while prior weeks like March 20-27 (projected ~270) and March 17-24 (~340) underscore spike potential from breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or cultural debates. Key swing factors include any Starship updates or political commentary, with no major catalysts confirmed yet; quiet periods favor lower ranges, but Musk's real-time engagement habits keep higher bins competitive in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, reflecting his trailing average of roughly 34 posts per day per XTracker data, pacing toward 285 weekly amid historical volatility. Recent slowdown—only 10 posts March 26-28—has tempered upside bets, evening odds across buckets while prior weeks like March 20-27 (projected ~270) and March 17-24 (~340) underscore spike potential from breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or cultural debates. Key swing factors include any Starship updates or political commentary, with no major catalysts confirmed yet; quiet periods favor lower ranges, but Musk's real-time engagement habits keep higher bins competitive in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, reflecting his trailing average of roughly 34 posts per day per XTracker data, pacing toward 285 weekly amid historical volatility. Recent slowdown—only 10 posts March 26-28—has tempered upside bets, evening odds across buckets while prior weeks like March 20-27 (projected ~270) and March 17-24 (~340) underscore spike potential from breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or cultural debates. Key swing factors include any Starship updates or political commentary, with no major catalysts confirmed yet; quiet periods favor lower ranges, but Musk's real-time engagement habits keep higher bins competitive in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, reflecting his trailing average of roughly 34 posts per day per XTracker data, pacing toward 285 weekly amid historical volatility. Recent slowdown—only 10 posts March 26-28—has tempered upside bets, evening odds across buckets while prior weeks like March 20-27 (projected ~270) and March 17-24 (~340) underscore spike potential from breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or cultural debates. Key swing factors include any Starship updates or political commentary, with no major catalysts confirmed yet; quiet periods favor lower ranges, but Musk's real-time engagement habits keep higher bins competitive in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「260〜279」で12%、次いで「280〜299」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」は$35.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「260〜279」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「280〜299」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。