Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk's net worth clustering around $645 billion by March 31, 2025, with the 650-660 billion outcome leading at 30.5% probability, closely trailed by 640-650 billion (24.0%), reflecting tight competition driven by Tesla share price volatility. Recent post-election Tesla rally—up over 60% since November on anticipated Trump administration deregulation and EV policy tailwinds—has lifted Musk's ~13% stake valuation, while SpaceX's $350 billion tender offer valuation and xAI's $6 billion funding at $50 billion pre-money bolstered higher bins. Key swing factors include Tesla's January 29 Q4 earnings, Robotaxi event outcomes, and broader market cap dynamics, with downside risks from delivery shortfalls or margin pressures tilting toward sub-640 billion territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日6500億〜6600億 31%
6400億〜6500億 25%
6600億〜6700億 15%
6400億ドル未満 14%
$404,811 Vol.
$404,811 Vol.
6400億ドル未満
14%
6400億〜6500億
25%
6500億〜6600億
31%
6600億〜6700億
15%
6700〜6800億
9%
6,800億~6,900億ドル
5%
6900億〜7000億
2%
7000億~7100億
2%
7,100億ドル以上
6%
6500億〜6600億 31%
6400億〜6500億 25%
6600億〜6700億 15%
6400億ドル未満 14%
$404,811 Vol.
$404,811 Vol.
6400億ドル未満
14%
6400億〜6500億
25%
6500億〜6600億
31%
6600億〜6700億
15%
6700〜6800億
9%
6,800億~6,900億ドル
5%
6900億〜7000億
2%
7000億~7100億
2%
7,100億ドル以上
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk's net worth clustering around $645 billion by March 31, 2025, with the 650-660 billion outcome leading at 30.5% probability, closely trailed by 640-650 billion (24.0%), reflecting tight competition driven by Tesla share price volatility. Recent post-election Tesla rally—up over 60% since November on anticipated Trump administration deregulation and EV policy tailwinds—has lifted Musk's ~13% stake valuation, while SpaceX's $350 billion tender offer valuation and xAI's $6 billion funding at $50 billion pre-money bolstered higher bins. Key swing factors include Tesla's January 29 Q4 earnings, Robotaxi event outcomes, and broader market cap dynamics, with downside risks from delivery shortfalls or margin pressures tilting toward sub-640 billion territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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