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財務·SpaceX

SpaceXのIPOは___ ？

Market icon
財務·SpaceX

SpaceXのIPOは___ ？

$1,456,272 Vol.

2026/04/30
Polymarket

$1,456,272 Vol.

Polymarket

4月30日

$425,721 Vol.

1%

5月31日

$159,989 Vol.

2%

6月15日

$61,131 Vol.

11%

6月30日

$174,923 Vol.

69%

8月31日

$3,294 Vol.

80%

9月30日

$63,268 Vol.

90%

12月31日

$59,799 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster initial public offering, potentially as early as June with a roadshow targeted for early that month and prospectus release by late May. Driving this sentiment is Starlink's surging revenue from its global satellite internet constellation, alongside Starship's rapid testing cadence toward full reusability and NASA contracts, positioning SpaceX as the unchallenged leader in commercial spaceflight amid rivals like Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile. Valuation targets exceed $1.75 trillion for a $50-75 billion raise, though success hinges on favorable market conditions, upcoming Starship Flight 12 outcomes, and regulatory review—timelines that have historically slipped in Musk-led ventures. Traders eye these milestones for resolution catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,456,272
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster initial public offering, potentially as early as June with a roadshow targeted for early that month and prospectus release by late May. Driving this sentiment is Starlink's surging revenue from its global satellite internet constellation, alongside Starship's rapid testing cadence toward full reusability and NASA contracts, positioning SpaceX as the unchallenged leader in commercial spaceflight amid rivals like Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile. Valuation targets exceed $1.75 trillion for a $50-75 billion raise, though success hinges on favorable market conditions, upcoming Starship Flight 12 outcomes, and regulatory review—timelines that have historically slipped in Musk-led ventures. Traders eye these milestones for resolution catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,456,272
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「SpaceXのIPOは___ ？」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で94%、次いで「9月30日」が90%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SpaceXのIPOは___ ？」は$1.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SpaceXのIPOは___ ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SpaceXのIPOは___ ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月30日」で90%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SpaceXのIPOは___ ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。