Recent reports of SpaceX preparing an initial public offering filing as soon as this week, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and potentially raising over $75 billion, have intensified speculation on its stock ticker without any official disclosure, positioning "Other" as the trader consensus at 62.7% implied probability. The $X outcome holds strong second at 31.5% due to Elon Musk's affinity for the branding—seen in X platform ownership—but odds have slid from higher levels amid doubts over single-letter ticker availability on Nasdaq or NYSE preferences for descriptive symbols. Social media frenzy and $15 million in Polymarket wagers reflect hype around playful options like $SEX or $SPACEX, yet lack of confirmed details favors uncertainty; watch for S-1 filing to clarify resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日その他 62.7%
$X 32%
$SEX 2.0%
$SPAX 1.4%
$3,964,249 Vol.
$3,964,249 Vol.
その他
63%
$X
32%
$SEX
2%
$SPAX
1%
$STAR
1%
$SX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$MARS
1%
$SPC
<1%
その他 62.7%
$X 32%
$SEX 2.0%
$SPAX 1.4%
$3,964,249 Vol.
$3,964,249 Vol.
その他
63%
$X
32%
$SEX
2%
$SPAX
1%
$STAR
1%
$SX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$MARS
1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports of SpaceX preparing an initial public offering filing as soon as this week, targeting a June 2026 listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and potentially raising over $75 billion, have intensified speculation on its stock ticker without any official disclosure, positioning "Other" as the trader consensus at 62.7% implied probability. The $X outcome holds strong second at 31.5% due to Elon Musk's affinity for the branding—seen in X platform ownership—but odds have slid from higher levels amid doubts over single-letter ticker availability on Nasdaq or NYSE preferences for descriptive symbols. Social media frenzy and $15 million in Polymarket wagers reflect hype around playful options like $SEX or $SPACEX, yet lack of confirmed details favors uncertainty; watch for S-1 filing to clarify resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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