SpaceX’s recent SEC filing on May 20, 2026, confirming plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX has anchored trader consensus around the “Other (incl $SPCX)” outcome at 97% implied probability. The prospectus details a June roadshow and debut for the rocket, satellite, and AI infrastructure company, aligning with Elon Musk’s long-rumored public listing strategy and historical precedent for space-sector IPOs. Minor alternatives like $X or $SPAX reflect earlier speculation but lack supporting filings or announcements. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute regulatory adjustments or a delayed launch, though the formal S-1 submission makes significant ticker changes unlikely before trading begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日その他($SPCX含む) 97.0%
$X <1%
$SPAX <1%
$SEX <1%
$6,694,272 Vol.
$6,694,272 Vol.
その他($SPCX含む)
97%
$X
1%
$SPAX
<1%
$SEX
<1%
$SX
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$SPACE
<1%
$MARS
<1%
$STAR
<1%
その他($SPCX含む) 97.0%
$X <1%
$SPAX <1%
$SEX <1%
$6,694,272 Vol.
$6,694,272 Vol.
その他($SPCX含む)
97%
$X
1%
$SPAX
<1%
$SEX
<1%
$SX
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$SPACE
<1%
$MARS
<1%
$STAR
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s recent SEC filing on May 20, 2026, confirming plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX has anchored trader consensus around the “Other (incl $SPCX)” outcome at 97% implied probability. The prospectus details a June roadshow and debut for the rocket, satellite, and AI infrastructure company, aligning with Elon Musk’s long-rumored public listing strategy and historical precedent for space-sector IPOs. Minor alternatives like $X or $SPAX reflect earlier speculation but lack supporting filings or announcements. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute regulatory adjustments or a delayed launch, though the formal S-1 submission makes significant ticker changes unlikely before trading begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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