SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1 has driven trader consensus toward a $1.75 trillion valuation for a targeted June 2026 listing, aligning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52% implied probability and the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bin at 24.5%. This reflects explosive Starlink satellite constellation revenue growth to nearly $16 billion in 2025, coupled with reusable Falcon rocket dominance (83% global launch share) and Starship reusability milestones. Recent tender offers doubling valuation to $800 billion in late 2025 underscore momentum, though final pricing hinges on S-1 disclosures, roadshow reception, and regulatory scrutiny amid aerospace sector re-rating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,575,231 Vol.
$1,575,231 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
2%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
10%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
52%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
25%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
6%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
2%
2028年以前に上場しない
3%
$1,575,231 Vol.
$1,575,231 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
$18,683 Vol.
2%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
$15,050 Vol.
10%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
$25,863 Vol.
52%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
$21,320 Vol.
25%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
$778,991 Vol.
6%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
$436,605 Vol.
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
$36,051 Vol.
2%
2028年以前に上場しない
$242,668 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1 has driven trader consensus toward a $1.75 trillion valuation for a targeted June 2026 listing, aligning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52% implied probability and the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bin at 24.5%. This reflects explosive Starlink satellite constellation revenue growth to nearly $16 billion in 2025, coupled with reusable Falcon rocket dominance (83% global launch share) and Starship reusability milestones. Recent tender offers doubling valuation to $800 billion in late 2025 underscore momentum, though final pricing hinges on S-1 disclosures, roadshow reception, and regulatory scrutiny amid aerospace sector re-rating.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$1,575,231マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1 has driven trader consensus toward a $1.75 trillion valuation for a targeted June 2026 listing, aligning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52% implied probability and the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bin at 24.5%. This reflects explosive Starlink satellite constellation revenue growth to nearly $16 billion in 2025, coupled with reusable Falcon rocket dominance (83% global launch share) and Starship reusability milestones. Recent tender offers doubling valuation to $800 billion in late 2025 underscore momentum, though final pricing hinges on S-1 disclosures, roadshow reception, and regulatory scrutiny amid aerospace sector re-rating.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,575,231マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1 has driven trader consensus toward a $1.75 trillion valuation for a targeted June 2026 listing, aligning the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52% implied probability and the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T bin at 24.5%. This reflects explosive Starlink satellite constellation revenue growth to nearly $16 billion in 2025, coupled with reusable Falcon rocket dominance (83% global launch share) and Starship reusability milestones. Recent tender offers doubling valuation to $800 billion in late 2025 underscore momentum, though final pricing hinges on S-1 disclosures, roadshow reception, and regulatory scrutiny amid aerospace sector re-rating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問