Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition between $2.0T–$2.5T (32.5%) and $1.5T–$2.0T (28.5%) closing market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a mid-June roadshow and listing. This follows a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–24 billion 2026 revenue from expanding satellite broadband and direct-to-cell partnerships, alongside Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enhancing launch cadence dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key swing factors include forthcoming S-1 disclosures on financials, regulatory approvals for Starlink spectrum, and macroeconomic conditions; Starship orbital successes or subscriber surges could push toward higher bins, while delays risk slippage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,939,473 Vol.
$1,939,473 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
5%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
11%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
29%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
33%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
14%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
8%
3.5兆ドル以上
3%
2028年以前に上場しない
2%
$1,939,473 Vol.
$1,939,473 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
$72,210 Vol.
5%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
$58,932 Vol.
11%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
$68,751 Vol.
29%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
$93,443 Vol.
33%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
$814,412 Vol.
14%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
$484,465 Vol.
8%
3.5兆ドル以上
$67,323 Vol.
3%
2028年以前に上場しない
$279,937 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition between $2.0T–$2.5T (32.5%) and $1.5T–$2.0T (28.5%) closing market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a mid-June roadshow and listing. This follows a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–24 billion 2026 revenue from expanding satellite broadband and direct-to-cell partnerships, alongside Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enhancing launch cadence dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key swing factors include forthcoming S-1 disclosures on financials, regulatory approvals for Starlink spectrum, and macroeconomic conditions; Starship orbital successes or subscriber surges could push toward higher bins, while delays risk slippage.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$1,939,473マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition between $2.0T–$2.5T (32.5%) and $1.5T–$2.0T (28.5%) closing market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a mid-June roadshow and listing. This follows a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–24 billion 2026 revenue from expanding satellite broadband and direct-to-cell partnerships, alongside Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enhancing launch cadence dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key swing factors include forthcoming S-1 disclosures on financials, regulatory approvals for Starlink spectrum, and macroeconomic conditions; Starship orbital successes or subscriber surges could push toward higher bins, while delays risk slippage.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,939,473マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition between $2.0T–$2.5T (32.5%) and $1.5T–$2.0T (28.5%) closing market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a mid-June roadshow and listing. This follows a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–24 billion 2026 revenue from expanding satellite broadband and direct-to-cell partnerships, alongside Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enhancing launch cadence dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key swing factors include forthcoming S-1 disclosures on financials, regulatory approvals for Starlink spectrum, and macroeconomic conditions; Starship orbital successes or subscriber surges could push toward higher bins, while delays risk slippage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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