Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut that could raise over $75 billion at a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation, propelled by Starlink's explosive growth—$16 billion in 2025 revenue and $7.5 billion EBITDA from its satellite constellation. This aligns trader consensus with 50.5% implied probability on a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on reusable rocket dominance and orbital compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project. Elon Musk debunked minor rumors excluding retail platforms like Robinhood but affirmed broader 2026 plans. Starship Flight 12, slated for late April, looms as a pivotal catalyst, with success potentially lifting odds toward 2.0T+, amid historical timeline slips.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,542,807 Vol.
$1,542,807 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
51%
2.0T-2.5T
25%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
$1,542,807 Vol.
$1,542,807 Vol.
<1.0T
$15,515 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$11,346 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$16,723 Vol.
51%
2.0T-2.5T
$17,910 Vol.
25%
2.5T-3.0T
$776,401 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$434,051 Vol.
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
$32,701 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$238,160 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut that could raise over $75 billion at a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation, propelled by Starlink's explosive growth—$16 billion in 2025 revenue and $7.5 billion EBITDA from its satellite constellation. This aligns trader consensus with 50.5% implied probability on a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on reusable rocket dominance and orbital compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project. Elon Musk debunked minor rumors excluding retail platforms like Robinhood but affirmed broader 2026 plans. Starship Flight 12, slated for late April, looms as a pivotal catalyst, with success potentially lifting odds toward 2.0T+, amid historical timeline slips.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$1,542,807マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut that could raise over $75 billion at a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation, propelled by Starlink's explosive growth—$16 billion in 2025 revenue and $7.5 billion EBITDA from its satellite constellation. This aligns trader consensus with 50.5% implied probability on a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on reusable rocket dominance and orbital compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project. Elon Musk debunked minor rumors excluding retail platforms like Robinhood but affirmed broader 2026 plans. Starship Flight 12, slated for late April, looms as a pivotal catalyst, with success potentially lifting odds toward 2.0T+, amid historical timeline slips.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,542,807マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut that could raise over $75 billion at a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation, propelled by Starlink's explosive growth—$16 billion in 2025 revenue and $7.5 billion EBITDA from its satellite constellation. This aligns trader consensus with 50.5% implied probability on a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on reusable rocket dominance and orbital compute ambitions like the TERAFAB project. Elon Musk debunked minor rumors excluding retail platforms like Robinhood but affirmed broader 2026 plans. Starship Flight 12, slated for late April, looms as a pivotal catalyst, with success potentially lifting odds toward 2.0T+, amid historical timeline slips.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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