Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the Claude AI developer targeting a potential public listing as early as October amid banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others for a $60 billion-plus raise at around its $380 billion post-money valuation from February's massive $30 billion Series G round. With ample cash reserves reducing urgency, no S-1 filing or official announcements have emerged in the past week, aligning with historical AI lab timelines that prioritize model releases like upcoming Claude iterations over rushed debuts. Scenarios challenging this include expedited regulatory reviews or competitive pressures from OpenAI, though typical IPO prep (audits, roadshows) makes a pre-July launch improbable absent major catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.6%
6,000億ドル以上 1.5%
4,000億～6,000億 <1%
2,000～3,000億ドル <1%
$926,969 Vol.
$926,969 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1,000〜2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000～3,000億ドル
1%
3,000〜4,000億
1%
4,000億～6,000億
1%
6,000億ドル以上
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
97%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.6%
6,000億ドル以上 1.5%
4,000億～6,000億 <1%
2,000～3,000億ドル <1%
$926,969 Vol.
$926,969 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
$191,443 Vol.
<1%
1,000〜2,000億ドル
$64,473 Vol.
<1%
2,000～3,000億ドル
$121,027 Vol.
1%
3,000〜4,000億
$62,135 Vol.
1%
4,000億～6,000億
$93,240 Vol.
1%
6,000億ドル以上
$232,620 Vol.
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$162,032 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the Claude AI developer targeting a potential public listing as early as October amid banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others for a $60 billion-plus raise at around its $380 billion post-money valuation from February's massive $30 billion Series G round. With ample cash reserves reducing urgency, no S-1 filing or official announcements have emerged in the past week, aligning with historical AI lab timelines that prioritize model releases like upcoming Claude iterations over rushed debuts. Scenarios challenging this include expedited regulatory reviews or competitive pressures from OpenAI, though typical IPO prep (audits, roadshows) makes a pre-July launch improbable absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
音量
$926,969終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the Claude AI developer targeting a potential public listing as early as October amid banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others for a $60 billion-plus raise at around its $380 billion post-money valuation from February's massive $30 billion Series G round. With ample cash reserves reducing urgency, no S-1 filing or official announcements have emerged in the past week, aligning with historical AI lab timelines that prioritize model releases like upcoming Claude iterations over rushed debuts. Scenarios challenging this include expedited regulatory reviews or competitive pressures from OpenAI, though typical IPO prep (audits, roadshows) makes a pre-July launch improbable absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$926,969終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the Claude AI developer targeting a potential public listing as early as October amid banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others for a $60 billion-plus raise at around its $380 billion post-money valuation from February's massive $30 billion Series G round. With ample cash reserves reducing urgency, no S-1 filing or official announcements have emerged in the past week, aligning with historical AI lab timelines that prioritize model releases like upcoming Claude iterations over rushed debuts. Scenarios challenging this include expedited regulatory reviews or competitive pressures from OpenAI, though typical IPO prep (audits, roadshows) makes a pre-July launch improbable absent major catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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